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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

St Truiden

S S T T U

3–0

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 29%

26%

31%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

48%

62%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

58%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 2

1 Corners 4

7 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 15. · Cercle Brugge 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	25	15	5	5	+16	50
2	Club Brugge	23	15	4	4	+31	49
3	Genk	25	12	9	4	+18	45
4	Waregem	29	14	3	12	+2	45
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	28	12	7	9	+3	43
6	Mechelen	25	12	5	8	+4	41
7	Beerschot VA	27	12	4	11	-3	40
8	Anderlecht	26	8	14	4	+11	38
9	Charleroi	27	11	5	11	+2	38
10	Standard	23	10	6	7	+5	36
11	Eupen	28	8	12	8	-8	36
12	Gent	25	10	5	10	+9	35
13	Kortrijk	27	9	6	12	-7	33
14	Oostende	23	9	5	9	+3	32
15	St Truiden	27	7	7	13	-10	28
16	Mouscron	25	6	8	11	-11	26
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	25	6	8	11	-11	26
18	Cercle Brugge	26	8	1	17	-10	25
19	Waasland-Beveren	25	5	6	14	-22	21
20	Beveren	25	5	6	14	-22	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	14	8	4	2	+8	28
2	Genk	12	7	5	0	+16	26
3	Club Brugge	12	8	1	3	+12	25
4	Beerschot VA	13	7	3	3	+6	24
5	Anderlecht	13	5	8	0	+10	23
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	7	2	5	+1	23
7	Oostende	11	6	3	2	+10	21
8	Kortrijk	16	6	2	8	-5	20
9	Waregem	16	6	2	8	-8	20
10	Standard	12	5	4	3	+4	19
11	Mechelen	14	5	3	6	+2	18
12	Eupen	15	4	6	5	-4	18
13	Charleroi	12	5	2	5	+2	17
14	St Truiden	14	4	4	6	-2	16
15	Mouscron	12	3	5	4	+0	14
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	3	5	4	+0	14
17	Gent	10	3	2	5	+3	11
18	Cercle Brugge	13	3	0	10	-7	9
19	Waasland-Beveren	11	2	1	8	-14	7
20	Beveren	11	2	1	8	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	13	8	1	4	+10	25
2	Club Brugge	11	7	3	1	+19	24
3	Gent	15	7	3	5	+6	24
4	Mechelen	11	7	2	2	+2	23
5	Antwerp	11	7	1	3	+8	22
6	Charleroi	15	6	3	6	+0	21
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	5	5	4	+2	20
8	Genk	13	5	4	4	+2	19
9	Eupen	13	4	6	3	-4	18
10	Standard	11	5	2	4	+1	17
11	Cercle Brugge	13	5	1	7	-3	16
12	Beerschot VA	14	5	1	8	-9	16
13	Anderlecht	13	3	6	4	+1	15
14	Waasland-Beveren	14	3	5	6	-8	14
15	Beveren	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Kortrijk	11	3	4	4	-2	13
17	St Truiden	13	3	3	7	-8	12
18	Mouscron	13	3	3	7	-11	12
19	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	3	7	-11	12
20	Oostende	12	3	2	7	-7	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.