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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

St Truiden

S T S S T

0–2

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 25/22 matches

Win Ø 26%

28%

23%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

52%

36%

Both score Ø 53%

60%

45%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

7 Corners 4

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 15. · Royal Excel Mouscron 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	21	13	4	4	+28	43
2	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	25	12	6	7	+7	42
3	Waregem	26	13	3	10	+5	42
4	Genk	23	11	8	4	+17	41
5	Antwerp	21	12	5	4	+13	41
6	Anderlecht	23	8	11	4	+11	35
7	Mechelen	22	10	4	8	+2	34
8	Charleroi	24	10	4	10	+1	34
9	Eupen	25	8	10	7	-6	34
10	Standard	21	9	6	6	+6	33
11	Beerschot VA	24	10	3	11	-7	33
12	Kortrijk	24	9	5	10	-4	32
13	Gent	22	9	3	10	+6	30
14	Oostende	21	8	5	8	+3	29
15	St Truiden	25	7	6	12	-8	27
16	Mouscron	23	6	6	11	-11	24
17	Cercle Brugge	24	7	1	16	-10	22
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	22	5	6	11	-13	21
19	Waasland-Beveren	23	5	6	12	-20	21
20	Beveren	23	5	6	12	-20	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	11	6	5	0	+15	23
2	Beerschot VA	12	7	2	3	+6	23
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	7	2	3	+5	23
4	Club Brugge	11	7	1	3	+10	22
5	Anderlecht	12	5	7	0	+10	22
6	Antwerp	11	6	4	1	+7	22
7	Oostende	11	6	3	2	+10	21
8	Kortrijk	14	6	2	6	-2	20
9	Mechelen	13	5	2	6	+2	17
10	Waregem	14	5	2	7	-6	17
11	Standard	11	4	4	3	+3	16
12	Charleroi	11	5	1	5	+2	16
13	St Truiden	13	4	4	5	+0	16
14	Eupen	12	4	4	4	-2	16
15	Mouscron	11	3	4	4	+0	13
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	3	4	4	+0	13
17	Gent	9	3	1	5	+3	10
18	Cercle Brugge	12	3	0	9	-6	9
19	Waasland-Beveren	10	2	1	7	-13	7
20	Beveren	10	2	1	7	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	12	8	1	3	+11	25
2	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+18	21
3	Gent	13	6	2	5	+3	20
4	Antwerp	10	6	1	3	+6	19
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	5	4	4	+2	19
6	Genk	12	5	3	4	+2	18
7	Charleroi	13	5	3	5	-1	18
8	Eupen	13	4	6	3	-4	18
9	Standard	10	5	2	3	+3	17
10	Mechelen	9	5	2	2	+0	17
11	Waasland-Beveren	13	3	5	5	-7	14
12	Beveren	13	3	5	5	-7	14
13	Anderlecht	11	3	4	4	+1	13
14	Cercle Brugge	12	4	1	7	-4	13
15	Kortrijk	10	3	3	4	-2	12
16	St Truiden	12	3	2	7	-8	11
17	Mouscron	12	3	2	7	-11	11
18	Beerschot VA	12	3	1	8	-13	10
19	Oostende	10	2	2	6	-7	8
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.