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Super League

Referee: I Peljto

AEK

T S T T S

2–2

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

This season — Super League · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 52%

58%

46%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

46%

33%

Both score Ø 40%

46%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,9

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%

11 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 2. · Asteras Tripolis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	23	19	3	1	+46	60
2	AEK	24	14	4	6	+10	46
3	Panathinaikos	24	13	5	6	+12	44
4	PAOK	23	12	7	4	+20	43
5	Aris Thessalonikis	22	13	4	5	+14	43
6	Aris	22	13	4	5	+14	43
7	Asteras Tripolis	24	11	7	6	+2	40
8	Atromitos	24	6	9	9	-8	27
9	Volos NFC	24	6	9	9	-10	27
10	Giannina	24	5	8	11	-6	23
11	Apollon	24	6	4	14	-9	22
12	OFI Crete	23	5	4	14	-20	19
13	Lamia	22	4	6	12	-19	18
14	Panetolikos	24	2	9	13	-20	15
15	Larisa	23	1	7	15	-26	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	11	11	0	0	+29	33
2	PAOK	11	7	4	0	+15	25
3	Asteras Tripolis	12	7	3	2	+4	24
4	Panathinaikos	12	6	3	3	+6	21
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Aris	11	6	2	3	+5	20
7	AEK	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Atromitos	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Lamia	11	3	2	6	-8	11
10	Volos NFC	11	2	4	5	-6	10
11	Panetolikos	12	2	3	7	-7	9
12	OFI Crete	13	2	3	8	-14	9
13	Giannina	12	1	5	6	-6	8
14	Apollon	12	2	1	9	-9	7
15	Larisa	11	0	5	6	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	12	9	1	2	+8	28
2	Olympiakos	12	8	3	1	+17	27
3	Aris Thessalonikis	11	7	2	2	+9	23
4	Aris	11	7	2	2	+9	23
5	Panathinaikos	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	PAOK	12	5	3	4	+5	18
7	Volos NFC	13	4	5	4	-4	17
8	Asteras Tripolis	12	4	4	4	-2	16
9	Giannina	12	4	3	5	+0	15
10	Apollon	12	4	3	5	+0	15
11	OFI Crete	10	3	1	6	-6	10
12	Atromitos	11	2	4	5	-7	10
13	Lamia	11	1	4	6	-11	7
14	Panetolikos	12	0	6	6	-13	6
15	Larisa	12	1	2	9	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.