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Pro League

Referee: Jonathan Lardot

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T T S S

0–1

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 26/30 matches

Win Ø 27%

31%

23%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

62%

60%

Both score Ø 63%

69%

57%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3 Corners 7

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 12. · Cercle Brugge 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	30	22	7	1	+46	73
2	Gent	29	17	7	5	+29	58
3	Charleroi	30	16	10	4	+29	58
4	Standard	31	16	7	8	+21	55
5	Antwerp	30	15	8	7	+19	53
6	Genk	31	15	6	10	+10	51
7	Mechelen	30	14	5	11	+3	47
8	Waregem	30	12	5	13	+4	41
9	Anderlecht	29	9	12	8	+2	39
10	St Truiden	30	10	6	14	-11	36
11	Kortrijk	31	10	5	16	-7	35
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	26	8	9	9	-1	33
13	Mouscron	27	8	9	10	-2	33
14	Eupen	29	8	6	15	-20	30
15	Cercle Brugge	30	7	4	19	-26	25
16	Oostende	30	6	4	20	-30	22
17	Beveren	26	5	5	16	-31	20
18	Waasland-Beveren	27	5	5	17	-35	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	15	12	3	0	+28	39
2	Club Brugge	15	12	3	0	+28	39
3	Standard	16	11	3	2	+20	36
4	Charleroi	15	11	2	2	+18	35
5	Antwerp	14	10	4	0	+17	34
6	Genk	15	10	1	4	+8	31
7	Waregem	15	8	1	6	+17	25
8	Anderlecht	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	Mechelen	15	6	4	5	+1	22
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	5	5	3	+5	20
11	Mouscron	14	5	5	4	+4	20
12	St Truiden	15	4	6	5	+1	18
13	Kortrijk	16	5	3	8	+0	18
14	Oostende	15	5	3	7	-6	18
15	Cercle Brugge	15	5	2	8	-7	17
16	Eupen	14	3	5	6	-6	14
17	Waasland-Beveren	13	3	2	8	-15	11
18	Beveren	13	3	2	8	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+18	34
2	Mechelen	15	8	1	6	+2	25
3	Charleroi	15	5	8	2	+11	23
4	Genk	16	5	5	6	+2	20
5	Antwerp	16	5	4	7	+2	19
6	Standard	15	5	4	6	+1	19
7	Gent	14	5	4	5	+1	19
8	St Truiden	15	6	0	9	-12	18
9	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-7	17
10	Waregem	15	4	4	7	-13	16
11	Eupen	15	5	1	9	-14	16
12	Anderlecht	14	3	6	5	-4	15
13	Mouscron	13	3	4	6	-6	13
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	4	6	-6	13
15	Beveren	13	2	3	8	-16	9
16	Waasland-Beveren	14	2	3	9	-20	9
17	Cercle Brugge	15	2	2	11	-19	8
18	Oostende	15	1	1	13	-24	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.