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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Ath Madrid
S S U S U
0–2
Full-time
Levante
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 52%
77%
26%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
45%
48%
Both score Ø 60%
45%
74%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
28 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 10
12 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 1. · Levante 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 22 17 4 1 +31 55
2 Real Madrid 23 15 4 4 +22 49
3 Barcelona 22 14 4 4 +28 46
4 Sevilla 22 14 3 5 +16 45
5 Sociedad 23 10 8 5 +17 38
6 Villarreal 23 8 12 3 +8 36
7 Betis 24 11 3 10 -6 36
8 Granada 23 8 6 9 -11 30
9 Celta 23 7 8 8 -5 29
10 Ath Bilbao 22 8 4 10 +6 28
11 Levante 23 6 10 7 -1 28
12 Osasuna 23 6 7 10 -9 25
13 Valencia 23 5 9 9 -4 24
14 Getafe 24 6 6 12 -13 24
15 Cadiz 23 6 6 11 -19 24
16 Alaves 23 5 7 11 -14 22
17 Eibar 24 4 9 11 -8 21
18 Elche 22 4 9 9 -11 21
19 Valladolid 23 4 9 10 -12 21
20 Huesca 23 2 10 11 -15 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Levante
30′
Hermoso 1–0
own goal
36′
🟨 Rúben Vezo
Half-time 1–0
T. Lemar 🔁
↦ J. Giménez
54′
Ricard Sánchez 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
61′
L. Torreira 🔁
↦ G. Kondogbia
61′
62′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ Sergio León
62′
🔁 Jorge de Frutos
↦ Rochina
69′
🟨 Dani Cárdenas
Koke 🟨
70′
Thomas Lemar 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 Son
↦ Coke
71′
🔁 Clerc
↦ Toño
M. Dembélé 🔁
↦ Koke
74′
80′
🔁 N. Vukčević
↦ Morales
90′
🟨 Róber Pier
95′
Jorge de Frutos 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

3-4-2-1
13 J. Oblak G
18 Felipe D
2 J. Giménez D
22 Hermoso D
12 Renan Lodi M
4 G. Kondogbia M
6 Koke M
14 Llorente M
9 L. Suárez F
10 Á. Correa F
7 João Félix F
Bench (8)
11 T. Lemar
29 Ricard Sánchez
5 L. Torreira
19 M. Dembélé
27 Sergio Camello
1 I. Grbić
20 Vitolo
28 Álvaro García

Coach: D. Simeone

Levante

3-4-2-1
34 Dani Cárdenas G
6 Ó. Duarte D
23 Coke M
3 Toño M
14 Rúben Vezo D
4 Rober D
16 Rochina F
11 Morales F
12 M. Malsa M
10 E. Bardhi M
7 Sergio León F
Bench (9)
21 Dani Gómez
18 Jorge de Frutos
2 Son
19 Clerc
17 N. Vukčević
9 Roger Martí
20 Miramón
13 Aitor Fernández
25 C. Doukouré

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,55
U
3,96
B ✓
6,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.