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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Ein Frankfurt
U S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 60%
48%
71%
Points per game
1,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
62%
81%
Both score Ø 79%
81%
76%
Average goals
3,4
4,3
Scored
2,0
2,9
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
12 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 4. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 21 15 4 2 +32 49
2 RB Leipzig 21 13 5 3 +19 44
3 Wolfsburg 22 11 9 2 +16 42
4 Ein Frankfurt 21 10 9 2 +14 39
5 Leverkusen 21 10 6 5 +16 36
6 Dortmund 21 10 3 8 +10 33
7 M'gladbach 21 8 9 4 +6 33
8 Freiburg 21 8 7 6 +2 31
9 Union Berlin 21 7 9 5 +9 30
10 Stuttgart 21 6 8 7 +3 26
11 Werder Bremen 20 5 8 7 -3 23
12 Hoffenheim 21 6 5 10 -7 23
13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 -13 22
14 FC Koln 21 5 6 10 -15 21
15 Hertha 21 4 6 11 -11 18
16 Bielefeld 21 5 3 13 -20 18
17 Mainz 21 3 5 13 -21 14
18 Schalke 04 21 1 6 14 -37 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Bayern Munich
1–0 D. Kamada
F. Kostić
12′
2–0 A. Younes
D. Kamada
31′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 L. Goretzka
↦ Marc Roca
53′
R. Lewandowski 2–1
L. Sané
Sebastian Rode 🟨
56′
S. Ilsanker 🔁
↦ S. Rode
67′
R. Ache 🔁
↦ L. Jović
68′
A. Barkok 🔁
↦ A. Younes
74′
82′
🔁 L. Hernández
↦ K. Coman
82′
🔁 J. Musiala
↦ E. Choupo-Moting
Evan N'Dicka 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 Javi Martínez
↦ L. Sané
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ D. Kamada
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
20 M. Hasebe M
13 M. Hinteregger D
18 A. Touré M
2 O. N'Dicka D
35 Tuta D
17 S. Rode M
10 F. Kostić M
15 D. Kamada F
32 A. Younes F
9 L. Jović F
Bench (9)
3 S. Ilsanker
21 R. Ache
27 A. Barkok
11 S. Zuber
30 J. Willems
40 E. Bördner
22 T. Chandler
7 A. Hrustic
23 M. Schubert

Coach: A. Hütter

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba D
4 N. Süle D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
22 Marc Roca M
13 E. Choupo-Moting M
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
10 L. Sané M
Bench (8)
18 L. Goretzka
21 L. Hernández
42 J. Musiala
8 Javi Martínez
47 A. Sieb
39 R. Hoffmann
20 B. Sarr
28 Tiago Dantas

Coach: H. Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,95
U
4,30
B
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,30
U2,5
3,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.