Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fulham
Sheffield United
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | +34 | 56 |
| 2 |
Man United
|
24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 |
Leicester
|
24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +16 | 46 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +16 | 43 |
| 5 |
West Ham
|
24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | +9 | 42 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 40 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Aston Villa
|
22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | +12 | 36 |
| 9 |
Tottenham
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +11 | 36 |
| 10 |
Arsenal
|
24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 34 |
| 11 |
Wolves
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 33 |
| 12 |
Leeds
|
24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -15 | 29 |
| 15 |
Burnley
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |
Brighton
|
24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | -5 | 26 |
| 17 |
Newcastle
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 |
Fulham
|
24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 19 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | -36 | 14 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
24 | 3 | 2 | 19 | -25 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Areola
G
J. Andersen
D
O. Aina
D
T. Adarabioyo
D
A. Robinson
D
R. Loftus-Cheek
M
H. Reed
M
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
A. Lookman
M
J. Maja
F
Coach: S. Parker
E. Ampadu
D
O. McBurnie
F
Coach: C. Wilder
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Burnley
Fulham
Everton
Fulham
Fulham
West Ham
Fulham
Leicester
West Brom
Fulham
M Atkinson · 53 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.