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Referee: J Vergoote

Royal Excel Mouscron

S U S T T

2–0

Full-time

Genk

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 36%

20%

52%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

40%

62%

Both score Ø 63%

45%

81%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,1

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Corners 4

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 20. · Genk 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	21	11	7	3	+19	40
2	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	23	11	6	6	+8	39
3	Waregem	24	12	3	9	+2	39
4	Club Brugge	19	11	4	4	+24	37
5	Antwerp	19	10	5	4	+11	35
6	Charleroi	22	10	4	8	+5	34
7	Beerschot VA	22	10	3	9	-2	33
8	Kortrijk	23	9	5	9	-2	32
9	Eupen	23	7	10	6	-5	31
10	Anderlecht	20	7	9	4	+8	30
11	Standard	20	8	6	6	+5	30
12	Gent	20	9	2	9	+7	29
13	Oostende	20	8	5	7	+4	29
14	Mechelen	20	8	4	8	-2	28
15	Cercle Brugge	22	7	1	14	-8	22
16	St Truiden	22	5	6	11	-10	21
17	Mouscron	21	5	5	11	-13	20
18	Beveren	20	5	4	11	-16	19
19	Waasland-Beveren	21	5	4	12	-20	19
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	20	4	5	11	-15	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	11	7	2	2	+9	23
2	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	7	2	3	+5	23
3	Genk	10	6	4	0	+15	22
4	Oostende	11	6	3	2	+10	21
5	Kortrijk	13	6	2	5	+0	20
6	Club Brugge	10	6	1	3	+9	19
7	Antwerp	10	5	4	1	+6	19
8	Anderlecht	9	4	5	0	+7	17
9	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-5	17
10	Standard	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Charleroi	10	5	1	4	+3	16
12	Mechelen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	St Truiden	11	3	4	4	+0	13
14	Eupen	11	3	4	4	-4	13
15	Mouscron	10	3	3	4	+0	12
16	Gent	8	3	1	4	+4	10
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	2	3	4	-2	9
18	Cercle Brugge	11	3	0	8	-5	9
19	Beveren	9	2	1	6	-9	7
20	Waasland-Beveren	10	2	1	7	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	11	7	1	3	+7	22
2	Gent	12	6	1	5	+3	19
3	Club Brugge	9	5	3	1	+15	18
4	Genk	11	5	3	3	+4	18
5	Charleroi	12	5	3	4	+2	18
6	Eupen	12	4	6	2	-1	18
7	Antwerp	9	5	1	3	+5	16
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Standard	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Mechelen	8	4	2	2	-1	14
11	Anderlecht	11	3	4	4	+1	13
12	Cercle Brugge	11	4	1	6	-3	13
13	Kortrijk	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Waasland-Beveren	11	3	3	5	-7	12
15	Beveren	11	3	3	5	-7	12
16	Beerschot VA	11	3	1	7	-11	10
17	Oostende	9	2	2	5	-6	8
18	St Truiden	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.