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Pro League
Referee: Sebastien Delferiere
0–1
Full-time
Eupen
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,5
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
25%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
1,8
5,3
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
4,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

10 Corners 5
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 15. · Eupen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Genk 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
4 Oostende 5 3 0 2 -1 9
5 Standard 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 Cercle Brugge 4 2 2 0 +3 8
7 Gent 3 2 1 0 +4 7
8 Antwerp 3 2 1 0 +2 7
9 Waregem 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 St Truiden 5 0 4 1 -1 4
11 Charleroi 4 1 0 3 -1 3
12 Beveren 4 0 3 1 -3 3
13 Kortrijk 4 0 1 3 -7 1
14 Lokeren 4 0 1 3 -8 1
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 0 0 4 -5 0
16 Eupen 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Eupen
13′
🟨 Cheick Keita
29′
Cheick Keita 0–1
Bruno Godeau 🟨
33′
43′
🟨 Jean Thierry Lazare Armani
Half-time 0–1
Fabrice Olinga 🔁
↦ Idrisa Sambu
46′
62′
🟨 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
67′
🔁 Samuel Essende
↦ Danijel Miličević
76′
🔁 Remi Mulumba
↦ David Pollet
Yannis Mbombo 🔁
↦ Alexandros Katranis
80′
80′
🔁 Megan Laurent
↦ Yuta Toyokawa
81′
🟨 Hendrik Van Crombrugge
Mergim Vojvoda 🔁
↦ Noe Dussenne
85′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

1 Olivier Werner G
2 Noe Dussenne D
13 Giorgos Galitsios D
31 Bruno Godeau D
3 Alexandros Katranis D
30 Benjamin van Durmen M
21 Manuel Benson M
10 Selim Amallah M
99 Idrisa Sambu F
23 Frantzdy Pierrot F
11 Dimitri Mohamed F
Bench (7)
33 Jean Butez
27 Mergim Vojvoda
24 Nikola Gulan
8 Luca Napoleone
14 Sebastjan Spahiu
9 Yannis Mbombo
7 Fabrice Olinga

Coach: F. Defays

Eupen

1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
22 Siebe Blondelle D
44 Xavier Molina D
25 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga D
24 Silas Gnaka D
3 Cheick Keita D
8 Jean Thierry Lazare Armani M
77 Danijel Miličević M
10 Luis Garcia F
9 David Pollet F
20 Yuta Toyokawa F
Bench (7)
30 Babacar Niasse Mbaye
7 Julian Schauerte
11 Megan Laurent
6 Remi Mulumba
23 Samuel Essende
19 Florian Raspentino
31 Ivan Yagan

Coach: C. Makélélé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sebastien Delferiere · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.