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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

Waregem

S T S S S

1–0

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 22/19 matches

Win Ø 33%

45%

21%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

64%

42%

Both score Ø 51%

55%

47%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Corners 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waregem 6. · Royal Excel Mouscron 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	19	11	7	1	+22	40
2	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	22	10	6	6	+7	36
3	Antwerp	18	10	5	3	+14	35
4	Club Brugge	18	10	4	4	+23	34
5	Charleroi	21	10	4	7	+6	34
6	Waregem	22	10	3	9	-3	33
7	Beerschot VA	20	10	1	9	-2	31
8	Anderlecht	18	7	9	2	+11	30
9	Kortrijk	21	8	5	8	-2	29
10	Gent	19	9	1	9	+7	28
11	Mechelen	19	7	4	8	-5	25
12	Standard	18	6	6	6	+1	24
13	Eupen	20	5	9	6	-8	24
14	Oostende	17	6	4	7	+2	22
15	Cercle Brugge	20	7	0	13	-7	21
16	St Truiden	21	5	6	10	-9	21
17	Waasland-Beveren	19	5	4	10	-14	19
18	Beveren	19	5	4	10	-14	19
19	Royal Excel Mouscron	19	4	5	10	-14	17
20	Mouscron	20	4	5	11	-15	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	10	6	4	0	+15	22
2	Beerschot VA	9	7	0	2	+9	21
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	6	2	3	+4	20
4	Club Brugge	10	6	1	3	+9	19
5	Antwerp	10	5	4	1	+6	19
6	Anderlecht	9	4	5	0	+7	17
7	Kortrijk	12	5	2	5	-1	17
8	Charleroi	10	5	1	4	+3	16
9	Oostende	8	4	2	2	+8	14
10	Waregem	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	St Truiden	10	3	4	3	+1	13
12	Mechelen	11	3	2	6	-4	11
13	Gent	8	3	1	4	+4	10
14	Standard	9	2	4	3	-1	10
15	Eupen	10	2	4	4	-6	10
16	Mouscron	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	2	3	4	-2	9
18	Cercle Brugge	10	3	0	7	-4	9
19	Waasland-Beveren	9	2	1	6	-9	7
20	Beveren	9	2	1	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	10	6	1	3	+3	19
2	Genk	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Charleroi	11	5	3	3	+3	18
4	Gent	11	6	0	5	+3	18
5	Antwerp	8	5	1	2	+8	16
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Club Brugge	8	4	3	1	+14	15
8	Standard	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Mechelen	8	4	2	2	-1	14
10	Eupen	10	3	5	2	-2	14
11	Anderlecht	9	3	4	2	+4	13
12	Kortrijk	9	3	3	3	-1	12
13	Cercle Brugge	10	4	0	6	-3	12
14	Waasland-Beveren	10	3	3	4	-5	12
15	Beveren	10	3	3	4	-5	12
16	Beerschot VA	11	3	1	7	-11	10
17	Oostende	9	2	2	5	-6	8
18	St Truiden	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	2	2	6	-12	8
20	Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.