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Eliteserien
Referee: D Higraff
Molde
U T T S S
3–2
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
67%
20%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 8. · Stromsgodset 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 6 5 1 0 +12 16
2 Lillestrom 6 4 0 2 +1 12
3 Brann 6 3 2 1 +5 11
4 Odd 7 2 3 2 +0 9
5 Viking 5 2 2 1 +5 8
6 Tromso 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Stabaek 5 2 2 1 +0 8
8 Molde 6 2 1 3 +4 7
9 Sandefjord 5 1 3 1 +2 6
10 Sarpsborg 08 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Valerenga 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Rosenborg 6 1 3 2 -3 6
13 Ham-Kam 5 2 0 3 -5 6
14 Haugesund 5 1 2 2 -5 5
15 Stromsgodset 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Aalesund 6 0 1 5 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Stromsgodset
1–0 M. Linnes
37′
40′
🟨 Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
Half-time 1–0
M. Kaasa 🔁
↦ M. Grødem
46′
57′
🔁 J. Braut Brunes
↦ J. Ekeland
57′
🔁 H. Stenevik
↦ T. Grøgaard
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ M. Eikrem
60′
61′
M. Mehnert 1–1
J. Braut Brunes
2–1 S. Heggheim
E. Breivik
67′
72′
🔁 J. Therkelsen
↦ I. Jack
3–1 E. Breivik
V. Berisha
77′
82′
🔁 K. Krasniqi
↦ T. Gulliksen
E. Knudtzon 🔁
↦ M. Linnes
83′
E. Kitolano 🔁
↦ K. Eriksen
88′
M. Bjørnbak 🔁
↦ B. Hansen
88′
96′
J. Braut Brunes 3–2
K. Krasniqi
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Molde

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
4 B. Hansen D
19 E. Haugan D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
21 M. Linnes M
22 M. Grødem M
8 S. Heggheim M
16 E. Breivik M
31 M. Løvik M
7 M. Eikrem F
20 K. Eriksen F
Bench (9)
15 M. Kaasa
9 V. Berisha
14 E. Knudtzon
10 E. Kitolano
2 M. Bjørnbak
3 B. Risa
12 O. Petersen
17 R. Zekhnini
33 N. Ødegård

Coach: E. Moe

Stromsgodset

3-4-3
1 V. Myhra G
3 S. Hanssen D
71 G. Valsvik D
27 F. Dahl D
26 L. Vilsvik M
10 H. Stengel M
6 I. Jack M
4 T. Grøgaard M
17 T. Gulliksen F
77 M. Mehnert F
11 J. Ekeland F
Bench (7)
9 J. Braut Brunes
7 H. Stenevik
22 J. Therkelsen
8 K. Krasniqi
2 A. Leifsson
47 A. Skjold
40 M. Sætra

Coach: J. Isnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higraff · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.