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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Galatasaray
S U S S S
2–1
Full-time
Molde
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
80%
40%
Points per game
2,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 10
1 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Aug -23 Molde – Galatasaray 2–3

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.