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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Excelsior

S T S T U

0–3

Full-time

Vitesse

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

8 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 11. · Vitesse 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Zwolle	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	VVV Venlo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Heracles	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	NAC Breda	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Twente	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Roda	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Willem II	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	NAC Breda	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.