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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Feyenoord
S S S U S
2–1
Full-time
Vitesse
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 44%
67%
20%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
50%
20%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Feyenoord 4. · Vitesse 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 7 0 0 +23 21
2 Ajax 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Heracles 7 5 1 1 +5 16
4 Feyenoord 6 4 1 1 +6 13
5 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 3 1 +9 12
6 VVV Venlo 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Excelsior 7 2 3 2 -2 9
8 Willem II 7 2 2 3 -1 8
9 Den Haag 7 2 2 3 -6 8
10 Heerenveen 7 1 4 2 -3 7
11 Zwolle 7 2 1 4 -4 7
12 De Graafschap 7 2 1 4 -6 7
13 FC Emmen 7 2 1 4 -8 7
14 Vitesse 5 1 3 1 -2 6
15 For Sittard 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Utrecht 7 1 3 3 -4 6
17 Groningen 6 1 1 4 -6 4
18 NAC Breda 7 1 0 6 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Vitesse
32′
M. Bero 0–1
Half-time 0–1
S. Larsson 🔁
↦ J. Toornstra
46′
1–1 Eric Botteghin
S. Berghuis
47′
N. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ D. Vente
57′
60′
🔁 O. Darfalou
↦ R. Beerens
63′
🟨 Alexander Büttner
63′
🟥 Thomas Bruns
75′
🔁 M. Clark
↦ T. Matavž
Y. Ayoub 🔁
↦ J. Clasie
82′
86′
🟨 Danilho Doekhi
2–1 R. van Persie
87′
Robin van Persie 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Danilho Doekhi
90′
🟥 Danilho Doekhi
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 K. Vermeer G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
4 J. St. Juste D
15 T. Malacia D
28 J. Toornstra M
8 J. Clasie M
10 T. Vilhena M
32 R. van Persie F
19 S. Berghuis F
34 D. Vente
Bench (11)
11 S. Larsson
9 N. Jørgensen
18 Y. Ayoub
20 R. Tapia
29 C. Verdonk
2 B. Nieuwkoop
30 R. ten Hove
13 J. Delle
3 S. van Beek
27 M. El Hankouri
17 L. Sinisterra

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 Eduardo G
28 A. Büttner D
8 V. Karavaev D
14 J. Clarke-Salter D
30 D. Doekhi D
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
10 T. Bruns M
21 M. Bero M
7 R. Beerens F
9 T. Matavž F
Bench (7)
13 O. Darfalou
5 M. Clark
35 J. Schuurman
29 T. Buitink
23 M. Ali
2 K. Karami
22 R. Pasveer

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.