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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Excelsior

S U U T S

1–0

Full-time

Vitesse

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 34%

20%

47%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

57%

53%

Both score Ø 67%

70%

63%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 15. · Vitesse 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	30	23	4	3	+58	73
2	Ajax	30	22	6	2	+47	72
3	PSV Eindhoven	30	20	8	2	+41	68
4	Utrecht	27	14	7	6	+15	49
5	Vitesse	30	14	6	10	+12	48
6	AZ Alkmaar	28	10	12	6	+6	42
7	Twente	30	11	9	10	-1	42
8	Heerenveen	28	11	6	11	+8	39
9	Heracles	31	10	7	14	-5	37
10	Willem II	30	8	9	13	-13	33
11	Zwolle	30	8	8	14	-21	32
12	Den Haag	30	9	4	17	-22	31
13	Roda	31	6	12	13	-22	30
14	Groningen	28	6	11	11	-5	29
15	Excelsior	30	6	10	14	-19	28
16	Sparta Rotterdam	31	7	7	17	-21	28
17	Nijmegen	30	7	7	16	-26	28
18	Go Ahead Eagles	30	6	5	19	-32	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	13	2	0	+41	41
2	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+28	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+22	36
4	Vitesse	15	8	2	5	+9	26
5	Heerenveen	14	7	4	3	+11	25
6	Twente	15	7	4	4	+5	25
7	Utrecht	13	7	3	3	+9	24
8	Heracles	16	7	3	6	+7	24
9	AZ Alkmaar	14	4	8	2	+6	20
10	Den Haag	15	6	2	7	-2	20
11	Roda	16	5	5	6	-2	20
12	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	4	6	+0	19
13	Nijmegen	15	5	4	6	-5	19
14	Excelsior	15	4	5	6	-2	17
15	Willem II	15	4	5	6	-5	17
16	Zwolle	15	4	5	6	-9	17
17	Groningen	14	3	7	4	-5	16
18	Go Ahead Eagles	15	4	1	10	-12	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	9	5	1	+19	32
3	Feyenoord	15	10	2	3	+17	32
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Vitesse	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	4	4	+0	22
7	Twente	15	4	5	6	-6	17
8	Willem II	15	4	4	7	-8	16
9	Zwolle	15	4	3	8	-12	15
10	Heerenveen	14	4	2	8	-3	14
11	Groningen	14	3	4	7	+0	13
12	Heracles	15	3	4	8	-12	13
13	Excelsior	15	2	5	8	-17	11
14	Den Haag	15	3	2	10	-20	11
15	Go Ahead Eagles	15	2	4	9	-20	10
16	Roda	15	1	7	7	-20	10
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	2	3	11	-21	9
18	Nijmegen	15	2	3	10	-21	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.