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Eredivisie
Referee: Christaan Bax
Zwolle
T T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Vitesse
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 15. · Vitesse 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 +18 15
2 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +13 13
3 Feyenoord 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Heracles 5 3 1 1 +0 10
5 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 2 1 +7 8
6 VVV Venlo 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Willem II 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 FC Emmen 5 2 1 2 -6 7
9 Den Haag 5 2 0 3 -6 6
10 For Sittard 5 1 2 2 -2 5
11 Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Excelsior 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 De Graafschap 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Zwolle 4 1 0 3 -3 3
16 Groningen 4 1 0 3 -4 3
17 NAC Breda 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Vitesse 3 0 2 1 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Vitesse
14′
🟨 Maikel Van der Werff
Bram Van Polen 🟨
20′
26′
T. Matavž 0–1
N. Foor
29′
🟨 Max Clark
44′
T. Matavž 0–2
Half-time 0–2
G. Scamacca 🔁
↦ S. van den Berg
46′
S. Elbers 🔁
↦ Y. Namli
46′
Z. Flemming 🔁
↦ A. Tripaldelli
76′
76′
🔁 O. Darfalou
↦ T. Matavž
78′
🟨 Matúš Bero
85′
🔁 T. Bruns
↦ M. Bero
89′
🔁 B. Linssen
↦ R. Beerens
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
3 T. Lam D
20 K. Ehizibue D
13 A. Tripaldelli D
33 S. van den Berg D
8 C. Leemans M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
9 M. van Duinen F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (11)
10 G. Scamacca
25 S. Elbers
14 Z. Flemming
5 K. Paal
6 G. Hamer
15 R. Ligeon
17 D. Genreau
23 D. Bouzanis
29 D. Lachman
34 O. Bouy
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 Eduardo G
3 M. van der Werff D
8 V. Karavaev D
14 J. Clarke-Salter D
5 M. Clark D
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
21 M. Bero M
18 M. Ødegaard F
7 R. Beerens F
9 T. Matavž F
Bench (8)
13 O. Darfalou
10 T. Bruns
11 B. Linssen
2 K. Karami
22 R. Pasveer
28 A. Büttner
29 T. Buitink
30 D. Doekhi

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.