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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

Zwolle

T S T S U

2–0

Full-time

Excelsior

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

22 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 12. · Excelsior 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+23	21
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Heracles	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+9	12
6	VVV Venlo	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Den Haag	8	3	2	3	-5	11
8	Excelsior	7	2	3	2	-2	9
9	Utrecht	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Heerenveen	7	1	4	2	-3	7
12	Zwolle	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	De Graafschap	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	FC Emmen	7	2	1	4	-8	7
15	Vitesse	6	1	3	2	-3	6
16	For Sittard	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Groningen	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	NAC Breda	8	1	0	7	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heracles	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+12	9
4	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+5	6
7	De Graafschap	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-5	6
9	Excelsior	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+4	4
11	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	FC Emmen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Zwolle	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	FC Emmen	4	2	0	2	-4	6
7	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Vitesse	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Den Haag	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Feyenoord	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	De Graafschap	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	NAC Breda	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.