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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Tromso
T S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Valerenga
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
70%
41%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
52%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 13. · Valerenga 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 27 18 5 4 +33 59
2 Bodo/Glimt 27 14 9 4 +20 51
3 Odd 28 14 7 7 +7 49
4 Rosenborg 27 12 9 6 +10 45
5 Viking 28 12 7 9 +9 43
6 Brann 28 10 10 8 +5 40
7 Kristiansund 27 10 8 9 +0 38
8 Haugesund 28 8 12 8 +4 36
9 Valerenga 27 8 9 10 -2 33
10 Stabaek 27 8 9 10 -2 33
11 Lillestrom 27 7 8 12 -12 29
12 Sarpsborg 08 27 5 13 9 -6 28
13 Tromso 27 8 4 15 -18 28
14 Stromsgodset 27 6 8 13 -16 26
15 Mjondalen 27 4 12 11 -15 24
16 Ranheim 27 6 6 15 -17 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Valerenga
Half-time 0–0
Runar Espejord 🔁
↦ Aidan Barlow
46′
Anders Jenssen 🟨
60′
Marcus Pedersen 🔁
↦ Jostein Gundersen
73′
75′
🔁 Johan Bjørdal
↦ Ivan Nasberg
Juha Pirinen 🔁
↦ Robert Taylor
82′
86′
🔁 Ousmane Camara
↦ Deyver Vega
90′
🔁 Mohammed Fellah
↦ Aron Dønnum
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-2-1
28 Jakob Karlstrom G
5 Anders Jenssen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
26 Jostein Gundersen D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen M
23 Eric Smith M
20 Aidan Barlow M
25 Lasse Nilsen M
15 Magnus Andersen F
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen F
11 Robert Taylor F
Bench (7)
1 Gudmund Kongshavn
6 Juha Pirinen
2 Artem Sokol
14 August Mikkelsen
19 Marcus Pedersen
30 Runar Espejord
16 Sigurd Grønli

Coach: S. Valakari

Valerenga

4-1-4-1
21 Adam Kwarasey G
18 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink D
27 Pierre Kanstrup D
22 Ivan Nasberg D
25 Sam Adekugbe D
14 Mohammed Abu M
7 Deyver Vega M
8 Magnus Lekven M
23 Felix Horn Myhre M
26 Aron Dønnum M
10 Matthías Vilhjálmsson F
Bench (7)
13 Kristoffer Klaesson
3 Johan Bjørdal
2 Markus Nakkim
5 Efrain Juarez
9 Mayron George
29 Mohammed Fellah
28 Ousmane Camara

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.