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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Sociedad
T S S T S
1–4
Full-time
Barcelona
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 8. · Barcelona 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Betis 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Vallecano 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Ath Madrid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Valencia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Barcelona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sevilla 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Celta 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Girona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cadiz 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Elche 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Barcelona
1′
R. Lewandowski 0–1
Álex Balde
1–1 A. Isak
6′
Aritz Elustondo 🟨
21′
Robin Le Normand 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Ronald Araújo
63′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ Ferran Torres
64′
🔁 Raphinha
↦ Álex Balde
66′
O. Dembélé 1–2
Ansu Fati
68′
R. Lewandowski 1–3
Ansu Fati
M. Cho 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
69′
Robert Navarro 🔁
↦ A. Isak
69′
Beñat Turrientes 🔁
↦ David Silva
69′
71′
🔁 Jordi Alba
↦ O. Dembélé
Gorosabel 🔁
↦ Elustondo
78′
Jon Karrikaburu 🔁
↦ Mikel Merino
78′
79′
Ansu Fati 1–4
84′
🔁 Sergi Roberto
↦ F. de Jong
84′
🔁 F. Kessié
↦ Gavi
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-1-2
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
24 R. Le Normand D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
3 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
21 David Silva M
14 T. Kubo F
19 A. Isak F
Bench (12)
11 M. Cho
29 Robert Navarro
27 Beñat Turrientes
18 Gorosabel
33 Jon Karrikaburu
31 Olasagasti
20 Jon Pacheco
30 Urko González
16 Guevara
4 Illarramendi
7 Barrenetxea
13 Andoni Zubiaurre

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Barcelona

3-2-4-1
1 M. ter Stegen G
4 R. Araújo D
15 A. Christensen D
24 Eric García D
21 F. de Jong M
30 Gavi M
7 O. Dembélé F
8 Pedri M
11 Ferran Torres M
28 Álex Balde F
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (12)
10 Ansu Fati
22 Raphinha
18 Jordi Alba
20 Sergi Roberto
19 F. Kessié
3 Piqué
32 Pablo Torre
16 M. Pjanić
26 Iñaki Peña
36 Arnau Tenas
14 M. Depay
17 P. Aubameyang

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,38
U
3,62
B ✓
2,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.