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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Lille

T S U S U

1–7

Full-time

Paris SG

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

5,2

Scored

1,8

4,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

6,0

Scored

2,5

5,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 16

10 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 7. · Paris SG 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Clermont	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	Toulouse	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Lille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Brest	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Rennes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Auxerre	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Monaco	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Nantes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Nice	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Angers	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Ajaccio	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Reims	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Troyes	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Clermont	2	1	0	1	-4	3
9	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Auxerre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Ajaccio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Angers	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Brest	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nice	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Reims	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ajaccio	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.