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Eliteserien
Referee: S Sinnes
Tromso
T S U T U
1–0
Full-time
Valerenga
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
2,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 14. · Valerenga 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Viking 6 5 0 1 +8 15
2 Lillestrom 6 4 2 0 +8 14
3 Molde 6 3 1 2 +4 10
4 Sarpsborg 08 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Valerenga 5 3 0 2 -1 9
6 Bodo/Glimt 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Aalesund 6 2 2 2 -1 8
8 Jerv 5 2 1 2 -3 7
9 Ham-Kam 5 1 3 1 +2 6
10 Sandefjord 5 2 0 3 +1 6
11 Rosenborg 5 1 3 1 -2 6
12 Odd 6 2 0 4 -3 6
13 Stromsgodset 5 2 0 3 -4 6
14 Tromso 5 1 2 2 -4 5
15 Haugesund 6 1 0 5 -7 3
16 Kristiansund 5 0 1 4 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Valerenga
Lasse Nilsen 🟨
13′
24′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ P. Strand
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Kitolano
L. Nilsen
67′
J. Tuominen 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
73′
A. Jenssen 🔁
↦ C. Psyché
73′
79′
🔁 H. Udahl
↦ S. Jatta
87′
🔁 J. Eng
↦ A. Dønnum
W. Kamanzi 🔁
↦ F. Winther
91′
Jakob Haugaard 🟨
93′
I. Vik 🔁
↦ E. Moses
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
4 J. Gundersen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
20 C. Øyvann D
11 R. Jenssen M
25 L. Nilsen M
17 E. Kitolano F
22 S. Opsahl M
7 F. Winther M
9 E. Moses F
Bench (8)
15 J. Tuominen
5 A. Jenssen
26 I. Vik
14 W. Kamanzi
24 D. Bassi
12 S. Thomas
29 D. Hafstad
60 Z. Jones

Coach: G. Helstrup

Valerenga

4-3-3
1 K. Haug G
6 V. Hedenstad D
5 L. Zuta D
22 I. Näsberg D
23 B. Bjarnason D
8 H. Bjørdal M
24 P. Strand M
26 A. Dønnum F
9 V. Kjartansson F
17 T. Christensen M
10 O. Sahraoui F
Bench (9)
19 S. Jatta
14 H. Udahl
27 J. Eng
20 M. Riisnæs
21 M. Sjøeng
4 J. Nation
18 T. Ismaheel
16 M. Emilsen
3 B. Skaret

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Sinnes · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.