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Eliteserien
Referee: M Aslam
Jerv
S U T T T
2–5
Full-time
Valerenga
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
24 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Jerv 15. · Valerenga 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 16 11 3 2 +17 36
2 Lillestrom 15 10 3 2 +15 33
3 Bodo/Glimt 16 9 4 3 +18 31
4 Rosenborg 16 7 7 2 +10 28
5 Viking 17 8 4 5 +7 28
6 Stromsgodset 15 6 4 5 -1 22
7 Aalesund 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Valerenga 15 6 2 7 -4 20
9 Sandefjord 16 6 2 8 -5 20
10 Odd 17 6 2 9 -7 20
11 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 1 8 +4 19
12 Ham-Kam 16 3 9 4 +0 18
13 Haugesund 16 4 4 8 -4 16
14 Tromso 14 3 7 4 -7 16
15 Jerv 15 3 2 10 -20 11
16 Kristiansund 15 1 2 12 -20 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Apr -22 Valerenga – Jerv 1–0

Match report

Jerv Valerenga
9′
J. Nation 0–1
F. Jensen
1–1 M. Ugland
27′
29′
🟨 Henrik Bjørdal
34′
A. Layouni 1–2
John Olav Norheim 🟨
38′
38′
H. Bjørdal 1–3
Erlend Hustad 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–3
58′
M. Wichmann 2–3
own goal
59′
🔁 T. Christensen
↦ V. Hedenstad
A. Şimşir 🔁
↦ M. Ugland
61′
F. Schröter 🔁
↦ E. Hustad
61′
D. Arrocha 🔁
↦ J. Norheim
65′
I. Mafi 🔁
↦ M. Haarup
66′
69′
🟨 Fredrik Jensen
3–3 A. Şimşir
71′
Willis Furtado 🔁
↦ L. Fernandes
73′
74′
🔁 M. Riisnæs
↦ A. Layouni
74′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ H. Udahl
Willis Alvés Furtado 🟨
75′
87′
🔁 J. Eng
↦ O. Sahraoui
94′
J. Eng 3–4
T. Christensen
95′
🟨 Odin Thiago Holm
Aral Şimşir 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Jerv

5-3-2
20 Ø. Øvretveit G
16 J. Norheim D
5 E. Sandberg D
2 T. Wichne D
27 M. Haarup D
14 O. Kolskogen D
6 M. Wichmann M
10 L. Fernandes M
8 M. Ugland M
17 A. Diallo F
9 E. Hustad F
Bench (7)
58 A. Şimşir
11 F. Schröter
3 D. Arrocha
19 I. Mafi
7 Willis Furtado
35 B. Kristiansen
1 A. Wichne

Coach: A. Sandstø

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 M. Sjøeng G
4 J. Nation D
6 V. Hedenstad D
5 L. Zuta D
7 F. Jensen D
8 H. Bjørdal M
24 P. Strand M
15 O. Holm M
11 A. Layouni F
14 H. Udahl F
10 O. Sahraoui F
Bench (9)
17 T. Christensen
20 M. Riisnæs
19 S. Jatta
27 J. Eng
3 B. Skaret
16 M. Emilsen
30 S. Strand-Kolbjørnsen
23 Brynjar Bjarnason
33 J. El-Abdellaoui

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.