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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Lillestrom
S S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Tromso
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 45%
69%
20%
Points per game
2,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
56%
53%
Both score Ø 62%
50%
73%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
11 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 2. · Tromso 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 17 12 3 2 +20 39
2 Lillestrom 16 11 3 2 +17 36
3 Bodo/Glimt 17 10 4 3 +25 34
4 Rosenborg 17 8 7 2 +11 31
5 Viking 17 8 4 5 +7 28
6 Valerenga 16 7 2 7 -1 23
7 Stromsgodset 16 6 4 6 -4 22
8 Aalesund 16 5 6 5 -3 21
9 Sandefjord 16 6 2 8 -5 20
10 Odd 18 6 2 10 -14 20
11 Sarpsborg 08 16 6 1 9 +2 19
12 Ham-Kam 17 3 9 5 -1 18
13 Tromso 15 3 8 4 -7 17
14 Haugesund 16 4 4 8 -4 16
15 Jerv 16 3 2 11 -23 11
16 Kristiansund 16 1 3 12 -20 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Tromso
36′
E. Kitolano 0–1
A. Mikkelsen
Half-time 0–1
E. Edh 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
46′
P. Helland 🔁
↦ L. Ranger
46′
70′
🔁 E. Moses
↦ J. Tuominen
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ C. Rösler
72′
E. Garnås 🔁
↦ I. Ogbu
77′
77′
🔁 F. Winther
↦ S. Opsahl
92′
🔁 T. Hafstad
↦ W. Kamanzi
1–1 M. Hedenstad Christiansen
H. Friðjónsson
94′
95′
🟨 Eric Kitolano
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-2-1
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
5 V. Dragsnes M
3 C. Rösler D
2 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen F
21 H. Friðjónsson F
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
Bench (9)
25 E. Edh
7 P. Helland
11 T. Svendsen
4 E. Garnås
33 H. Skogvold
1 K. Skjærstein
16 M. Lundemo
22 P. Slørdahl
23 G. Åsen

Coach: G. Bakke

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
5 A. Jenssen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
14 W. Kamanzi M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen D
17 E. Kitolano M
22 S. Opsahl M
15 J. Tuominen F
10 A. Mikkelsen F
Bench (7)
9 E. Moses
7 F. Winther
21 T. Hafstad
26 I. Vik
24 D. Bassi
12 S. Thomas
18 E. Aarflot

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.