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Championship

Referee: T Bramall

Bristol City

T T S U S

2–0

Full-time

Cardiff

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,5

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Championship · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 8

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bristol City 20. · Cardiff 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	5	3	1	1	+5	10
2	Watford	5	2	3	0	+2	9
3	Reading	5	3	0	2	+0	9
4	Blackburn	5	3	0	2	-1	9
5	Sunderland	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Hull	5	2	2	1	-1	8
7	Norwich	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Cardiff	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Preston	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Millwall	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Blackpool	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Rotherham	4	1	3	0	+4	6
13	West Brom	5	1	3	1	+2	6
14	Wigan	4	1	3	0	+1	6
15	Burnley	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	QPR	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Luton	5	1	2	2	-1	5
18	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	-1	5
19	Swansea	5	1	2	2	-4	5
20	Bristol City	4	1	1	2	+0	4
21	Stoke	5	1	1	3	-3	4
22	Huddersfield	4	1	0	3	-1	3
23	Middlesbrough	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Reading	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Norwich	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Millwall	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Hull	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Blackburn	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Watford	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Cardiff	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	West Brom	3	1	2	0	+3	5
10	Rotherham	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Stoke	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Burnley	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Preston	3	0	3	0	+0	3
19	Sunderland	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Middlesbrough	2	0	2	0	+0	2
21	Wigan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
22	Luton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Swansea	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Wigan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Preston	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Luton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Blackpool	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Watford	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Blackburn	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Rotherham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Hull	3	0	2	1	-3	2
12	Sheffield United	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	QPR	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	West Brom	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Birmingham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Middlesbrough	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Millwall	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-2	0
22	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-4	0
23	Reading	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.