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Primeira Liga
Referee: P Gaillouste
Casa Pia
U T
2–0
Full-time
Boavista
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Casa Pia Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
0,5
2,7
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,5
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Casa Pia 13. · Boavista 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Boavista 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Guimaraes 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Arouca 3 2 0 1 -2 6
6 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Estoril 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Sp Lisbon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Chaves 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Vizela 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Portimonense 2 1 0 1 +2 3
12 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Casa Pia 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Santa Clara 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Rio Ave 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Pacos Ferreira 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Maritimo 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 Famalicao 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Casa Pia Boavista
19′
🟨 Filipe Ferreira
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Rafael Martins ⚽
Lucas Soares
61′
63′
🔁 Bruno Lourenço
↦ Filipe Ferreira
2–0 S. Godwin ⚽
T. Kunimoto
66′
Y. Eteki 🔁
↦ Neto
70′
73′
🔁 Martim Tavares
↦ R. Abascal
74′
🟨 Gaius Makouta
Diogo Pinto 🔁
↦ T. Kunimoto
77′
Cuca 🔁
↦ Afonso Taira
78′
80′
🔁 Julio Dabo
↦ Salvador Agra
80′
🔁 M. Watai
↦ R. Boženík
Clayton 🔁
↦ S. Godwin
82′
Derick Poloni 🔁
↦ Rafael Martins
82′
Clayton 🟨
90′
93′
🟨 Sebastián Pérez
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Casa Pia

3-4-3
33 Ricardo Batista G
3 João Nunes D
13 Vasco Fernandes D
19 N. Zolotić D
42 Lucas Soares M
8 Neto M
27 Afonso Taira M
5 Leonardo Lelo M
14 T. Kunimoto F
11 Rafael Martins F
7 S. Godwin F
Bench (9)
88 Y. Eteki
10 Diogo Pinto
16 Cuca
99 Clayton
6 Derick Poloni
68 Lucas Paes
15 Fernando Varela
70 Anderson
2 E. Fereira

Coach: Filipe Martins

Boavista

3-4-3
1 Rafael Bracali G
2 R. Cannon D
23 V. Sasso D
26 R. Abascal D
79 Pedro Malheiro M
24 S. Pérez M
42 G. Makouta M
20 Filipe Ferreira M
21 Salvador Agra F
9 R. Boženík F
7 K. Gorré F
Bench (9)
8 Bruno Lourenço
59 Martim Tavares
55 Julio Dabo
13 M. Watai
80 Berna
16 Joel da Silva
12 César
18 I. Vukotić
62 Pedro Gomes

Coach: Petit

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
🔒
U
3,07
🔒
B
3,06
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,49
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,53
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Gaillouste · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.