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Eliteserien
Referee: S Kringstad
Lillestrom
T S U S U
4–0
Full-time
Jerv
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Jerv 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sandefjord 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Odd 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Aalesund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Viking 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Molde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Jerv 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Bodo/Glimt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Rosenborg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Ham-Kam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Lillestrom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Sarpsborg 08 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Valerenga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Stromsgodset 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Tromso 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Jerv
1–0 A. Adams
P. Helland
12′
2–0 P. Helland
G. Åsen
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Şimşir
↦ R. Antwi
Y. Ibrahimaj 🔁
↦ P. Helland
63′
63′
🔁 A. Diallo
↦ J. Norheim
3–0 I. Ogbu
G. Åsen
71′
F. Holst 🔁
↦ M. Knudsen
76′
80′
🔁 T. Ness
↦ M. Haarup
86′
🔁 M. Ugland
↦ Willis Furtado
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ I. Mathew
88′
C. Rösler 🔁
↦ I. Ogbu
88′
4–0 Y. Ibrahimaj
G. Åsen
95′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes D
2 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen M
25 E. Edh M
7 P. Helland F
9 A. Adams F
Bench (9)
20 Y. Ibrahimaj
77 F. Holst
11 T. Svendsen
3 C. Rösler
33 H. Skogvold
26 D. Murugesapillai
21 H. Friðjónsson
22 P. Slørdahl
1 K. Skjærstein

Coach: G. Bakke

Jerv

5-4-1
20 Ø. Øvretveit G
3 D. Arrocha D
16 J. Norheim D
2 T. Wichne D
27 M. Haarup D
14 O. Kolskogen D
6 M. Wichmann M
15 E. Brenden M
77 R. Antwi M
7 Willis Furtado M
9 E. Hustad F
Bench (9)
58 A. Şimşir
17 A. Diallo
23 T. Ness
8 M. Ugland
11 F. Schröter
4 K. Novak
5 E. Sandberg
35 B. Kristiansen
1 A. Wichne

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Kringstad · 61 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.