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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Lugano
T T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Luzern
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Super League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,3
0,0
Scored
2,3
0,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Servette 4 2 2 0 +2 8
2 Young Boys 3 2 1 0 +7 7
3 Grasshoppers 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Sion 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 St. Gallen 4 2 0 2 +2 6
6 Lugano 3 1 0 2 +1 3
7 Basel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Winterthur 4 0 1 3 -6 1
9 Zurich 4 0 1 3 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Apr -22 Luzern – Lugano 2–2 6. Feb -22 Lugano – Luzern 2–1 21. Nov -21 Lugano – Luzern 3–1 26. Sep -21 Luzern – Lugano 2–3 21. May -21 Luzern – Lugano 1–2

Match report

Lugano Luzern
32′
⚽ P. Dorn 0–1
N. Beloko
Half-time 0–1
Žan Celar 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Marius Müller
H. Mahou 🔁
↦ A. Arigoni
46′
47′
🟨 Lorik Emini
52′
ℹ️ Jakub Kadák
VAR: Goal cancelled
57′
🔁 I. Ndiaye
↦ Asumah Abubakar
57′
🔁 C. Gentner
↦ L. Emini
A. Hajdari 🔁
↦ A. Durrer
62′
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ Ž. Celar
62′
M. Haile-Selassie 🔁
↦ O. Doumbia
62′
68′
🔁 D. Sorgić
↦ J. Ardaiz
74′
🟨 Denis Simani
1–1 R. Ziegler ⚽
75′
B. Babic 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
76′
84′
🔁 S. Campo
↦ J. Kadák
84′
🔁 V. Tasar
↦ M. Dräger
84′
⚽ N. Beloko 1–2
V. Tasar
94′
🟨 Martin Frýdek
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lugano

3-5-1-1
1 A. Saipi G
8 A. Durrer D
15 L. Mai D
3 R. Ziegler D
34 A. Arigoni M
29 H. Mahmoud M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Doumbia M
17 M. Valenzuela M
10 M. Bottani F
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
18 H. Mahou
5 A. Hajdari
47 M. Amoura
11 M. Haile-Selassie
27 B. Babic
23 L. Srdić
33 A. Casciato
58 S. Osigwe
12 A. Morosoli

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Luzern

4-2-3-1
1 M. Müller G
2 M. Dräger D
46 M. Burch D
5 D. Simani D
13 M. Frýdek D
31 L. Emini M
18 N. Beloko M
20 P. Dorn M
16 J. Kadák M
21 Asumah Abubakar M
19 J. Ardaiz F
Bench (9)
7 I. Ndiaye
4 C. Gentner
9 D. Sorgić
10 S. Campo
27 V. Tasar
8 S. Alabi
90 V. Vasić
71 L. Jaquez
33 L. Meyer

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Bieri · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.