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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob A Sundberg
FC Copenhagen
S S T S T
4–1
Full-time
Brondby
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 8. · Brondby 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 4 4 0 0 +6 12
2 Silkeborg 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Horsens 4 2 1 1 +1 7
4 Randers FC 4 1 3 0 +1 6
5 Viborg 4 2 0 2 +0 6
6 Midtjylland 4 1 2 1 +2 5
7 Aarhus 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 FC Copenhagen 3 1 0 2 -1 3
9 Brondby 3 1 0 2 -3 3
10 Lyngby 4 0 2 2 -2 2
11 Aalborg 3 0 1 2 -3 1
12 Odense 3 0 1 2 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Brondby
1–0 D. Khocholava
R. Falk
13′
19′
C. Cappis 1–1
M. Divković
2–1 Pep Biel
33′
Lukas Lerager 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Kevin Ngoyi Tshiembe
3–1 Pep Biel
D. Vavro
45′
Half-time 4–1
4–1 Pep Biel
64′
65′
🔁 M. Kvistgaarden
↦ S. Hedlund
65′
🔁 P. Bjur
↦ A. Ben Slimane
Z. Rodrigues 🔁
↦ M. Daramy
68′
P. Ankersen 🔁
↦ K. Diks
73′
75′
🔁 M. Greve
↦ M. Divković
75′
🔁 S. Rosted
↦ S. Sebulonsen
76′
🟨 Henrik Heggheim
W. Bøving 🔁
↦ H. Haraldsson
83′
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 🔁
↦ R. Falk
83′
86′
🔁 F. Alves
↦ B. Riveros
87′
🟨 Mathias Kvistgaarden
Zeca 🟨
95′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-1-4-1
21 K. Johnsson G
2 K. Diks D
3 D. Vavro D
5 D. Khocholava D
34 V. Kristiansen D
33 R. Falk M
30 H. Haraldsson M
12 L. Lerager M
7 V. Claesson M
15 M. Daramy M
16 Pep Biel F
Bench (9)
10 Z. Rodrigues
22 P. Ankersen
24 W. Bøving
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
19 E. Jelert
11 K. Babacar
29 M. Karamoko
41 A. Dithmer
23 A. Amoo

Coach: J. Thorup

Brondby

4-3-1-2
1 M. Hermansen G
2 S. Sebulonsen D
3 H. Heggheim D
18 K. Tshiembe D
15 B. Riveros D
6 J. Bell M
22 J. Radošević M
23 C. Cappis M
25 A. Ben Slimane M
24 M. Divković F
27 S. Hedlund F
Bench (9)
36 M. Kvistgaarden
29 P. Bjur
8 M. Greve
4 S. Rosted
32 F. Alves
38 Y. Salech
19 B. Kvist
16 T. Mikkelsen
41 O. Schwartau

Coach: N. Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jacob A Sundberg · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.