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Premier League
Referee: P Tierney
Man United
T U S T T
1–2
Full-time
Brighton
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. May -22 Brighton – Man United 4–0 15. Feb -22 Man United – Brighton 2–0 4. Apr -21 Man United – Brighton 2–1 26. Sep -20 Brighton – Man United 2–3 30. Jun -20 Brighton – Man United 0–3

Match report

Man United Brighton
Scott McTominay 🟨
25′
30′
⚽ P. Groß 0–1
D. Welbeck
39′
⚽ P. Groß 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Lisandro Martínez 🟨
47′
Harry Maguire 🟨
53′
53′
🟨 Leandro Trossard
Cristiano Ronaldo 🔁
↦ Fred
53′
0–3 A. Mac Allister ⚽
own goal
68′
69′
ℹ️ Robert Sánchez
VAR: Goal confirmed
Luke Shaw 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 T. Lamptey
↦ L. Trossard
76′
🔁 E. Mwepu
↦ A. Lallana
D. van de Beek 🔁
↦ S. McTominay
78′
T. Malacia 🔁
↦ L. Shaw
90′
A. Garnacho 🔁
↦ Bruno Fernandes
90′
A. Elanga 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
90′
91′
🔁 L. Colwill
↦ S. March
95′
🔁 D. Undav
↦ D. Welbeck
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Man United

4-3-3
1 David de Gea G
20 Diogo Dalot D
5 H. Maguire D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
23 L. Shaw D
39 S. McTominay M
17 Fred M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
25 J. Sancho F
14 C. Eriksen F
10 M. Rashford F
Bench (9)
7 Cristiano Ronaldo
34 D. van de Beek
12 T. Malacia
49 A. Garnacho
36 A. Elanga
37 J. Garner
22 T. Heaton
19 R. Varane
29 A. Wan-Bissaka

Coach: E. ten Hag

Brighton

3-3-3-1
1 Robert Sánchez G
34 J. Veltman D
5 L. Dunk D
4 A. Webster D
13 P. Groß M
10 A. Mac Allister M
25 M. Caicedo M
7 S. March F
14 A. Lallana M
11 L. Trossard F
18 D. Welbeck F
Bench (9)
2 T. Lamptey
8 E. Mwepu
6 L. Colwill
21 D. Undav
29 J. van Hecke
22 K. Mitoma
19 J. Sarmiento
23 J. Steele
9 N. Maupay

Coach: G. Potter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,62
🔒
U
4,01
🔒
B ✓
5,68
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,89
🔒
U2,5
1,93
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Tierney · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.