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Superligaen
Referee: Morten Krogh
Odense
U T T U T
1–2
Full-time
Aarhus
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odense Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Odense 12. · Aarhus 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 4 4 0 0 +6 12
2 Silkeborg 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Horsens 4 2 1 1 +1 7
4 FC Copenhagen 4 2 0 2 +2 6
5 Randers FC 4 1 3 0 +1 6
6 Viborg 4 2 0 2 +0 6
7 Midtjylland 4 1 2 1 +2 5
8 Aarhus 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Brondby 4 1 0 3 -6 3
10 Lyngby 4 0 2 2 -2 2
11 Aalborg 3 0 1 2 -3 1
12 Odense 3 0 1 2 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odense Aarhus
9′
P. Mortensen 0–1
12′
🟨 Albert Grønbæk
Bashkim Kadrii 🟨
19′
1–1 R. Østrøm
38′
Charly Horneman 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–1
K. Larsen 🔁
↦ R. Østrøm
71′
J. Breum 🔁
↦ A. Þrándarson
71′
71′
🔁 A. D'Alberto
↦ T. Mølgaard
71′
🔁 F. Brandhof
↦ A. Grønbæk
M. Fenger 🔁
↦ C. Nouck
72′
80′
🔁 G. Links
↦ E. Kahl
87′
P. Mortensen 1–2
L. Kjerrumgaard 🔁
↦ B. Kadrii
88′
89′
🔁 D. Kurminowski
↦ S. Haugen
91′
🟨 Anthony D'Alberto
A. Adelgaard 🔁
↦ J. King
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Odense

5-3-2
1 M. Hansen G
2 N. Mickelson D
4 B. Paulsen D
6 J. Tverskov D
16 J. Skjelvik D
25 J. King D
19 A. Þrándarson M
24 R. Østrøm M
10 S. Svendsen M
21 C. Nouck F
9 B. Kadrii F
Bench (9)
5 K. Larsen
8 J. Breum
15 M. Fenger
17 L. Kjerrumgaard
23 A. Adelgaard
14 G. Grubbe
18 K. Kefing
26 A. Muçolli
13 H. Christian Bernat

Coach: A. Alm

Aarhus

3-4-1-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
14 T. Mølgaard M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
19 E. Kahl M
27 A. Grønbæk F
9 P. Mortensen F
10 S. Haugen F
Bench (9)
26 A. D'Alberto
29 F. Brandhof
11 G. Links
21 D. Kurminowski
16 D. Andersen
20 Z. Duncan
22 B. Hvidt
15 O. Lund
13 A. Munksgaard

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Morten Krogh · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.