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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Lille
S T T S U
4–1
Full-time
Auxerre
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lille Auxerre
1–0 B. André
J. David
1′
2–0 J. David
R. Cabella
3′
3–0 J. David
R. Cabella
39′
44′
🟨 Julian Jeanvier
Half-time 3–0
Angel Gomes 🟨
58′
4–0 A. Zedadka
J. Bamba
64′
68′
G. Charbonnier 4–1
Q. Bernard
Tiago Djaló 🟨
73′
B. Diakité 🔁
↦ Tiago Djaló
75′
75′
🔁 G. Perrin
↦ M. Autret
75′
🔁 L. Sinayoko
↦ Y. MChangama
C. Baleba 🔁
↦ A. Gomes
84′
Y. Yazıcı 🔁
↦ M. Bayo
84′
E. Zhegrova 🔁
↦ J. Bamba
89′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
1 Léo Jardim G
13 A. Zedadka D
6 José Fonte D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
3 Tiago Djaló D
21 B. André M
20 A. Gomes M
9 J. David M
17 R. Cabella M
7 J. Bamba M
27 M. Bayo F
Bench (9)
18 B. Diakité
35 C. Baleba
11 Y. Yazıcı
23 E. Zhegrova
16 A. Jakubech
30 L. Chevalier
31 Ismaily
19 I. Lihadji
15 L. Yoro

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Auxerre

4-2-3-1
23 B. Costil G
2 B. Pereira D
4 Jubal D
27 J. Jeanvier D
3 Q. Bernard D
6 Y. M'Changama M
12 B. Touré M
7 G. Hein M
22 H. Sakhi M
29 M. Autret M
19 G. Charbonnier F
Bench (9)
10 G. Perrin
17 L. Sinayoko
18 K. Ruiz-Atil
20 A. Coeff
32 D. Bain
16 D. Léon
35 K. Danois
26 P. Joly
21 R. Dugimont

Coach: J. Furlan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,93
B
4,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.