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Eliteserien
Referee: O Nilsen
Haugesund
S S T U T
3–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
20%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
53%
64%
Both score Ø 62%
60%
64%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

33% Possession 67%
11 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 10
4 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Haugesund 13. · Sarpsborg 08 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 15 10 3 2 +16 33
2 Lillestrom 15 10 3 2 +15 33
3 Bodo/Glimt 15 8 4 3 +17 28
4 Viking 16 8 4 4 +9 28
5 Rosenborg 15 6 7 2 +9 25
6 Stromsgodset 14 6 3 5 -1 21
7 Aalesund 15 5 6 4 -2 21
8 Sarpsborg 08 14 6 1 7 +6 19
9 Odd 15 6 1 8 -6 19
10 Ham-Kam 14 3 8 3 +1 17
11 Sandefjord 13 5 2 6 -3 17
12 Valerenga 14 5 2 7 -6 17
13 Haugesund 15 3 4 8 -6 13
14 Tromso 13 2 7 4 -10 13
15 Jerv 15 3 2 10 -20 11
16 Kristiansund 12 0 1 11 -19 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Haugesund Sarpsborg 08
Alexander Søderlund 🟨
16′
18′
J. Soltvedt 0–1
J. Lindseth
Martin Samuelsen 🟨
20′
26′
🟨 Anton Skipper
1–1 C. Zafeiris
27′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Sande
P. Therkildsen
47′
T. Pedersen 🔁
↦ N. Walstad
56′
U. Fredriksen 🔁
↦ P. Therkildsen
56′
60′
🟨 Anton Skipper
60′
🟥 Anton Skipper
63′
🔁 E. Wichne
↦ G. Molins
63′
🔁 M. Høyland
↦ T. Heintz
J. Holtan 🔁
↦ A. Søderlund
70′
Anders Baertelsen 🟨
76′
Bilal Njie 🟨
83′
3–1 B. Njie
M. Sande
83′
85′
🔁 J. Thomassen
↦ J. Soltvedt
H. Gong 🔁
↦ M. Samuelsen
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Haugesund

4-4-2
1 E. Selvik G
5 S. Reese D
3 N. Walstad D
4 A. Bærtelsen D
27 M. Sande M
8 K. Krygård M
7 P. Therkildsen D
10 C. Zafeiris M
16 A. Søderlund F
14 M. Samuelsen F
99 B. Njie M
Bench (8)
23 T. Pedersen
15 U. Fredriksen
11 J. Holtan
17 H. Gong
20 T. Naustdal
38 V. Solheim
32 F. Stople
30 I. Cissoko

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
1 S. Nilsen G
5 M. Ødegaard D
4 B. Utvik D
31 A. Skipper D
18 S. Martinsson-Ngouali M
17 J. Soltvedt D
20 A. Salétros M
11 J. Lindseth M
41 T. Heintz M
8 G. Molins M
15 S. Skålevik F
Bench (7)
32 E. Wichne
6 M. Høyland
16 J. Thomassen
7 O. Halvorsen
3 J. Horn
40 L. Øy
19 L. Mendy

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Nilsen · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.