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Allsvenskan
Referee: B Pandzic
Sirius
S U S T T
2–1
Full-time
Malmo FF
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 47%
38%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 35%
38%
31%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 9
5 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sirius 10. · Malmo FF 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 16 10 3 3 +24 33
2 Hacken 16 9 5 2 +12 32
3 AIK 16 9 4 3 +5 31
4 Hammarby 16 9 3 4 +18 30
5 Malmo FF 16 9 3 4 +9 30
6 Goteborg 16 8 3 5 +5 27
7 Mjallby 16 7 5 4 +3 26
8 Kalmar 16 7 3 6 +4 24
9 Elfsborg 16 5 6 5 +7 21
10 Sirius 16 6 3 7 -6 21
11 Norrkoping 17 5 4 8 -3 19
12 Varberg 16 5 3 8 -12 18
13 Varnamo 16 4 4 8 -10 16
14 Degerfors 17 3 2 12 -21 11
15 Helsingborg 16 2 4 10 -11 10
16 Sundsvall 16 3 1 12 -24 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sirius Malmo FF
Marcus Mathisen 🟨
15′
18′
J. Berget 0–1
M. Zeidan
40′
🔁 J. Ceesay
↦ J. Berget
1–1 M. Mathisen
D. Stensson
45′
Half-time 1–1
Jakob Voelkerling Persson 🟨
49′
2–1 C. Kouakou
M. Mathisen
57′
67′
🔁 H. Larsson
↦ F. Beijmo
67′
🔁 V. Birmančević
↦ I. Kiese Thelin
A. Hellborg 🔁
↦ P. Karlsson Lagemyr
71′
Kristopher Da Graca 🔁
↦ J. Voelkerling Persson
71′
Tim Björkström 🟨
72′
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ Y. Sugita
79′
85′
🔁 O. Toivonen
↦ E. Rakip
E. Sylisufaj 🔁
↦ C. Kouakou
88′
F. Olsson 🔁
↦ F. Rogić
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sirius

3-5-2
1 D. Mitov Nilsson G
8 T. Björkström D
21 D. Widgren M
6 M. Mathisen D
26 J. Voelkerling Persson D
7 F. Rogić M
10 Y. Sugita F
18 D. Stensson M
17 P. Karlsson Lagemyr M
9 C. Kouakou F
14 A. Bjarnason M
Bench (7)
2 A. Hellborg
4 Kristopher Da Graca
27 J. Karlsson
29 E. Sylisufaj
11 F. Olsson
12 Ó. Ómarsson
34 T. Vaiho

Coach: D. Bäckström

Malmo FF

4-3-3
27 J. Dahlin G
4 N. Moisander D
2 E. Larsson D
24 L. Nielsen D
14 F. Beijmo D
10 A. Christiansen M
32 J. Berget F
7 E. Rakip M
20 M. Zeidan M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
33 M. Turay F
Bench (7)
15 J. Ceesay
31 H. Larsson
19 V. Birmančević
11 O. Toivonen
30 I. Diawara
5 S. Rieks
23 M. Chaluš

Coach: A. Georgson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Pandzic · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.