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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Chaves
U T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Guimaraes
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 9
0 Red cards 2

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Apr -19 Guimaraes – Chaves 4–0 2. Dec -18 Chaves – Guimaraes 0–1 12. Jan -18 Chaves – Guimaraes 4–3 10. Aug -17 Guimaraes – Chaves 3–2 15. Apr -17 Chaves – Guimaraes 2–3

Match report

Chaves Guimaraes
João Batxi 🟨
16′
16′
🟨 Mikel Villanueva
18′
🟨 Miguel Maga
23′
🟨 Ibrahima Bamba
João Mendes ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Helder Sá
48′
⚽ André Silva 0–1
Jota Silva
55′
🟨 André Amaro
55′
🔁 Alfa Semedo
↦ I. Bamba
Nélson Monte 🟨
63′
Guima 🔁
↦ Kevin Pina
69′
Jonathan Arriba 🔁
↦ Bernardo Sousa
69′
74′
🔁 Nélson Luz
↦ Jota Silva
74′
🔁 Dani Silva
↦ André Almeida
74′
🔁 Anderson Silva
↦ André Silva
82′
🟥 Alfa Semedo
Hélder Morim 🔁
↦ João Teixeira
82′
Jô 🔁
↦ Héctor Hernández
82′
83′
🟨 Tiago Silva
83′
🟨 Bruno Varela
87′
🔁 Matheus Índio
↦ Tiago Silva
90′
🟨 Indio
Patrick 🔁
↦ Nélson Monte
90′
94′
🟨 Indio
94′
🟥 Indio
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Chaves

4-2-3-1
1 Paulo Vítor G
77 João Correia D
19 S. Vitória D
3 Nélson Monte D
5 Bruno Langa D
8 João Mendes M
6 Kevin Pina M
73 Bernardo Sousa M
10 João Teixeira M
11 Batxi M
23 Héctor Hernández F
Bench (8)
21 Guima
28 Jonathan Arriba
70 Hélder Morim
95 Jô
9 Patrick
12 Sandro Cruz
44 João Queirós
25 Ž. Frelih

Coach: Vítor Campelos

Guimaraes

4-3-3
14 Bruno Varela G
2 Miguel Maga D
13 André Amaro D
3 M. Villanueva D
5 Hélder Sá D
70 André Almeida M
22 I. Bamba M
10 Tiago Silva M
7 Rúben Lameiras F
17 André Silva F
11 Jota Silva F
Bench (9)
30 Alfa Semedo
20 Nélson Luz
80 Dani Silva
33 Anderson Silva
23 Matheus Índio
6 A. Mumin
38 Antoñín Cortés
25 R. Ogawa
63 Celton Biai

Coach: Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,80
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B ✓
2,48
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,10
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.