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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Toulouse
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Nice
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -20 Toulouse – Nice 0–2 21. Dec -19 Nice – Toulouse 3–0 15. Mar -19 Nice – Toulouse 1–1 5. Oct -18 Toulouse – Nice 1–1 3. Feb -18 Nice – Toulouse 0–1

Match report

Toulouse Nice
1–0 T. Dallinga ⚽
B. van den Boomen
20′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🟨 Pablo Rosario
63′
🔁 M. Lemina
↦ P. Rosario
64′
🔁 R. Ilie
↦ A. Beka Beka
65′
🟨 Dante
Z. Aboukhlal 🔁
↦ Rafael Ratão
66′
D. Genreau 🔁
↦ F. Chaïbi
69′
70′
🔁 B. Brahimi
↦ A. Gouiri
77′
🔁 A. Ramsey
↦ C. Stengs
78′
⚽ A. Ramsey 1–1
B. Brahimi
R. Healey 🔁
↦ T. Dallinga
79′
K. Keben 🔁
↦ M. Desler
79′
Kévin Keben Biakolo 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Toulouse

4-2-3-1
30 M. Dupé G
3 M. Desler D
4 A. Rouault D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
12 I. Sylla D
17 S. Spierings M
8 B. van den Boomen M
29 N. Ngoumou M
28 F. Chaïbi M
21 Rafael Ratão M
27 T. Dallinga F
Bench (9)
6 Z. Aboukhlal
5 D. Genreau
9 R. Healey
31 K. Keben
14 Logan Costa
7 A. Onaiwu
16 K. Haug
10 B. Dejaegere
23 M. Diarra

Coach: P. Montanier

Nice

4-3-3
90 M. Bułka G
23 J. Lotomba D
25 J. Todibo D
4 Dante D
26 M. Bard D
21 A. Beka Beka M
8 P. Rosario M
19 K. Thuram-Ulien M
22 C. Stengs F
7 A. Delort F
11 A. Gouiri F
Bench (9)
99 M. Lemina
18 R. Ilie
14 B. Brahimi
16 A. Ramsey
33 A. Mendy
10 A. Claude-Maurice
20 Y. Atal
42 M. Viti
1 K. Schmeichel

Coach: L. Favre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,84
🔒
U ✓
3,41
🔒
B
2,49
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,86
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,96
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.