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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Valerenga
S T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Jerv
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
22 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 1
10 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 7
5 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 13. · Jerv 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Lillestrom 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Aalesund 4 2 1 1 +1 7
4 Sandefjord 4 2 0 2 +3 6
5 Molde 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Odd 4 2 0 2 +1 6
7 Viking 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Jerv 3 2 0 1 -2 6
9 Rosenborg 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Ham-Kam 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Sarpsborg 08 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Tromso 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Valerenga 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Stromsgodset 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Kristiansund 3 0 0 3 -3 0
16 Haugesund 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Jerv
9′
🟨 Willis Alvés Furtado
20′
🟨 Mathias Wichmann
Henrik Bjørdal 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
64′
🔁 R. Antwi
↦ A. Şimşir
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ V. Kjartansson
72′
72′
🔁 A. Diallo
↦ Willis Furtado
72′
🔁 K. Novak
↦ M. Haarup
T. Ismaheel 🔁
↦ H. Bjørdal
79′
T. Christensen 🔁
↦ A. Dønnum
79′
0–1 J. Norheim
own goal
82′
86′
🔁 M. Ugland
↦ E. Sandberg
A. Layouni 🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
87′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
1 K. Haug G
6 V. Hedenstad D
5 L. Zuta D
22 I. Näsberg D
23 B. Bjarnason D
7 F. Jensen M
8 H. Bjørdal M
24 P. Strand M
26 A. Dønnum F
9 V. Kjartansson F
10 O. Sahraoui F
Bench (9)
14 H. Udahl
18 T. Ismaheel
17 T. Christensen
11 A. Layouni
4 J. Nation
21 M. Sjøeng
20 M. Riisnæs
19 S. Jatta
16 M. Emilsen

Coach: D. Fagermo

Jerv

5-4-1
20 Ø. Øvretveit G
16 J. Norheim D
5 E. Sandberg D
2 T. Wichne D
27 M. Haarup D
14 O. Kolskogen D
6 M. Wichmann M
15 E. Brenden M
7 Willis Furtado M
9 E. Hustad F
58 A. Şimşir M
Bench (8)
77 R. Antwi
17 A. Diallo
4 K. Novak
8 M. Ugland
1 A. Wichne
11 F. Schröter
23 T. Ness
35 B. Kristiansen

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.