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Eliteserien
Referee: K Steen
Tromso
S T T S U
2–5
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

49% Possession 51%
23 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 12. · Sarpsborg 08 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Lillestrom 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Aalesund 4 2 1 1 +1 7
4 Sandefjord 4 2 0 2 +3 6
5 Molde 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Odd 4 2 0 2 +1 6
7 Viking 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Jerv 3 2 0 1 -2 6
9 Rosenborg 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Ham-Kam 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Sarpsborg 08 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Tromso 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Valerenga 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Stromsgodset 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Kristiansund 3 0 0 3 -3 0
16 Haugesund 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
14′
T. Heintz 0–1
G. Molins
34′
J. Lindseth 0–2
G. Molins
44′
🟨 Anton Saletros
1–2 J. Gundersen
S. Opsahl
45′
Half-time 1–2
E. Kitolano 🔁
↦ A. Jenssen
46′
48′
G. Molins 1–3
T. Heintz
52′
M. Maigaard 1–4
J. Lindseth
F. Winther 🔁
↦ S. Opsahl
60′
J. Tuominen 🔁
↦ E. Moses
60′
67′
🔁 S. Skålevik
↦ T. Heintz
67′
🔁 K. Opseth
↦ G. Molins
2–4 K. Antonsen
75′
W. Kamanzi 🔁
↦ C. Øyvann
76′
78′
🔁 M. Høyland
↦ A. Salétros
85′
M. Maigaard 2–5
J. Lindseth
T. Hafstad 🔁
↦ L. Nilsen
87′
89′
🔁 M. Ødegaard
↦ B. Utvik
89′
🔁 O. Halvorsen
↦ J. Soltvedt
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
4 J. Gundersen D
5 A. Jenssen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
20 C. Øyvann D
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
25 L. Nilsen M
22 S. Opsahl M
9 E. Moses F
10 A. Mikkelsen F
Bench (9)
17 E. Kitolano
7 F. Winther
15 J. Tuominen
14 W. Kamanzi
21 T. Hafstad
12 S. Thomas
24 D. Bassi
29 D. Hafstad
26 I. Vik

Coach: G. Helstrup

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kristiansen G
4 B. Utvik D
32 E. Wichne D
31 A. Skipper D
18 S. Martinsson-Ngouali M
17 J. Soltvedt D
20 A. Salétros M
25 M. Maigaard M
11 J. Lindseth M
41 T. Heintz M
8 G. Molins F
Bench (6)
15 S. Skålevik
22 K. Opseth
6 M. Høyland
5 M. Ødegaard
7 O. Halvorsen
40 L. Øy

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Steen · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.