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Eliteserien
Referee: M Lien
Aalesund
U S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Tromso
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
17 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 10. · Tromso 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Viking 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Lillestrom 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 Bodo/Glimt 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Rosenborg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Sandefjord 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Odd 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Sarpsborg 08 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Valerenga 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Aalesund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Tromso 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Jerv 2 1 0 1 -3 3
13 Ham-Kam 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Kristiansund 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 Haugesund 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Stromsgodset 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Tromso
16′
🟨 Casper Öyvann
1–0 S. Haugen
E. Segberg
18′
Half-time 1–1
51′
S. Opsahl 1–1
R. Jenssen
K. Barmen 🔁
↦ E. Segberg
64′
F. Haugen 🔁
↦ Nenass
64′
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ T. Kallevåg
64′
65′
🔁 J. Gundersen
↦ C. Psyché
68′
🔁 J. Tuominen
↦ E. Moses
69′
🔁 E. Kitolano
↦ K. Antonsen
2–1 S. Haugen
F. Haugen
69′
A. Andersen 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
74′
84′
🔁 F. Winther
↦ C. Øyvann
85′
🔁 W. Kamanzi
↦ L. Nilsen
M. Diaw 🔁
↦ S. Haugen
88′
95′
J. Gundersen 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-3-3
1 S. Grytebust G
5 D. Fällman D
2 P. Golubović D
25 B. Šerbečić D
27 D. Čanađija M
14 T. Kallevåg F
6 E. Segberg M
11 S. Nordli F
7 Nenass M
19 I. Määttä D
22 S. Haugen F
Bench (9)
10 K. Barmen
8 F. Haugen
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
30 A. Andersen
17 M. Diaw
33 S. Rafn
13 M. Lansing
9 A. Ammitzbøll
18 N. Hopland

Coach: L. Nilsen

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
5 A. Jenssen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
20 C. Øyvann D
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
25 L. Nilsen M
22 S. Opsahl M
9 E. Moses F
10 A. Mikkelsen F
Bench (7)
4 J. Gundersen
15 J. Tuominen
17 E. Kitolano
7 F. Winther
14 W. Kamanzi
12 S. Thomas
21 T. Hafstad

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.