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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Lillestrom
S S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
44%
Both score Ø 54%
59%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 14. · Bodo/Glimt 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 28 18 6 4 +26 60
2 Brann 28 16 7 5 +15 55
3 Molde 28 16 5 7 +23 53
4 Haugesund 28 15 5 8 +12 50
5 Kristiansund 28 12 7 9 +5 43
6 Ranheim 28 12 6 10 -5 42
7 Odd 28 11 7 10 +5 40
8 Valerenga 28 10 8 10 -6 38
9 Sarpsborg 08 28 10 7 11 +5 37
10 Tromso 28 10 3 15 -6 33
11 Stromsgodset 28 7 8 13 -2 29
12 Bodo/Glimt 27 6 11 10 -3 29
13 Start 28 8 5 15 -21 29
14 Lillestrom 27 6 9 12 -12 27
15 Stabaek 28 5 10 13 -16 25
16 Sandefjord 28 4 10 14 -20 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Bodo/Glimt
3′
K. Opseth 0–1
1–1 A. Smárason
F. Krogstad
10′
41′
🟨 Martin Bjornbak
Half-time 1–1
67′
🟨 Amor Layouni
Marius Amundsen 🟨
68′
A. Melgalvis 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
75′
76′
🔁 T. Drage
↦ A. Layouni
E. Brenden 🔁
↦ E. Knudtzon
80′
84′
🔁 P. Berg
↦ V. Moberg
85′
🔁 G. Herrem
↦ K. Opseth
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
88 A. Smárason F
5 S. Rafn D
23 D. Pedersen M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
33 A. Melgalvis
15 E. Brenden
3 S. Mikalsen
12 R. Ayagwa
22 S. Antonijevic
24 E. Sandberg
25 M. Igonen

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
25 Ricardo G
3 E. Jonassen D
18 B. Moe D
4 M. Bjørnbak D
2 M. Lode D
10 José Jurado M
6 V. Moberg M
14 U. Saltnes M
26 H. Evjen M
20 A. Layouni F
22 K. Opseth F
Bench (7)
7 T. Drage
27 P. Berg
21 G. Herrem
11 M. Tagbajumi
12 A. Krysiak
16 M. Konradsen
17 Isidoro

Coach: A. Bjørkan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.