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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Lillestrom
U S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Haugesund
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Haugesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
2,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 8
5 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 2. · Haugesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Lillestrom 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Aalesund 4 2 1 1 +1 7
4 Sandefjord 4 2 0 2 +3 6
5 Molde 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Odd 4 2 0 2 +1 6
7 Viking 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Jerv 3 2 0 1 -2 6
9 Rosenborg 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Ham-Kam 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Sarpsborg 08 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Tromso 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Valerenga 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Stromsgodset 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Kristiansund 3 0 0 3 -3 0
16 Haugesund 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Haugesund
Half-time 0–0
Magnus Knudsen 🟨
58′
60′
🟨 Søren Reese
T. Pettersson 🔁
↦ L. Ranger
61′
P. Helland 🔁
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
61′
71′
🔁 J. Holtan
↦ A. Søderlund
H. Friðjónsson 🔁
↦ A. Adams
74′
F. Holst 🔁
↦ M. Knudsen
75′
79′
🟨 Egil Selvik
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ I. Mathew
85′
1–0 H. Friðjónsson
87′
90′
🔁 H. Gong
↦ M. Sande
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes D
2 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen M
25 E. Edh M
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
9 A. Adams F
Bench (8)
24 T. Pettersson
7 P. Helland
21 H. Friðjónsson
77 F. Holst
11 T. Svendsen
3 C. Rösler
15 E. Taylor
1 K. Skjærstein

Coach: G. Bakke

Haugesund

4-2-3-1
1 E. Selvik G
5 S. Reese D
3 N. Walstad D
4 A. Bærtelsen D
15 U. Fredriksen D
27 M. Sande M
8 K. Krygård M
7 P. Therkildsen M
10 C. Zafeiris M
16 A. Søderlund F
25 A. Ndour M
Bench (7)
11 J. Holtan
17 H. Gong
38 V. Solheim
21 J. Eskesen
99 B. Njie
20 T. Naustdal
32 F. Stople

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.