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Eliteserien
Referee: K Steen
Molde
S U S S S
1–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 1. · Lillestrom 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Viking 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Lillestrom 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 Bodo/Glimt 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Rosenborg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Sandefjord 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Odd 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Sarpsborg 08 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Valerenga 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Aalesund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Tromso 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Jerv 2 1 0 1 -3 3
13 Ham-Kam 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Kristiansund 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 Haugesund 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Stromsgodset 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Lillestrom
19′
I. Ogbu 0–1
G. Åsen
30′
🟨 Eskil Smidesang Edh
Half-time 0–1
Eirik Haugan 🟨
55′
M. Bjørnbak 🔁
↦ E. Haugan
63′
O. Brynhildsen 🔁
↦ M. Kaasa
63′
E. Hussain 🔁
↦ S. Mannsverk
63′
72′
🟨 Gjermund Åsen
76′
🔁 T. Svendsen
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
E. Knudtzon 🔁
↦ E. Andersen
78′
M. Grødem 🔁
↦ M. Eikrem
78′
1–1 K. Haugen
E. Breivik
79′
Etzaz Hussain 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 F. Holst
↦ L. Ranger
94′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ A. Adams
98′
H. Friðjónsson 1–2
G. Åsen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Molde

3-4-3
1 J. Karlstrøm G
21 M. Linnes M
28 K. Haugen M
19 E. Haugan D
4 B. Hansen D
3 B. Risa D
7 M. Eikrem F
23 E. Andersen F
15 M. Kaasa F
25 E. Breivik M
8 S. Mannsverk M
Bench (8)
2 M. Bjørnbak
11 O. Brynhildsen
16 E. Hussain
14 E. Knudtzon
22 M. Grødem
26 O. Petersen
24 J. Bakke
17 R. Zekhnini

Coach: E. Moe

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes D
2 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen M
25 E. Edh M
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
9 A. Adams F
Bench (9)
11 T. Svendsen
77 F. Holst
21 H. Friðjónsson
1 K. Skjærstein
26 D. Murugesapillai
15 E. Taylor
22 P. Slørdahl
3 C. Rösler
33 H. Skogvold

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Steen · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.