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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Ath Bilbao
T S T T S
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 9. · Huesca 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Sociedad 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Celta 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Levante 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Getafe 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Leganes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Villarreal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Valencia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Girona 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Alaves 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Betis 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Eibar 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Huesca
Dani García 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Susaeta
Iñaki Williams
47′
61′
🔁 David Ferreiro
↦ Moi Gómez
2–0 Yuri
Iñaki Williams
63′
68′
🔁 S. Gürler
↦ Álex Gallar
Iturraspe 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
71′
71′
Jorge Miramón 2–1
Jorge Pulido
72′
🟨 Jorge Pulido
Ander Iturraspe 🟨
73′
77′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ S. Longo
Ander Capa 🔁
↦ De Marcos
81′
Gorka Guruzeta 🔁
↦ Susaeta
84′
87′
E. Ávila 2–2
Gonzalo Melero
90′
🟨 Damian Musto
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-1-4-1
25 Unai Simón G
18 De Marcos D
12 Yuri D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
16 Dani García M
11 Iñigo Córdoba M
31 Peru Nolaskoain M
10 Muniain F
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
8 Iturraspe
21 Ander Capa
30 Gorka Guruzeta
3 Unai Núñez
17 Mikel Rico
23 Unai López
26 Hodei Oleaga

Coach: E. Berizzo

Huesca

4-4-2
1 A. Werner G
3 Etxeita D
16 Luisinho D
14 Jorge Pulido D
24 Jorge Miramón D
23 D. Musto M
6 Moi Gómez M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
11 Álex Gallar M
12 S. Longo F
9 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
7 David Ferreiro
21 S. Gürler
19 E. Ávila
4 Rúben Semedo
13 Santamaría
18 Pablo Ínsua
22 Lluis Sastre

Coach: L. Franco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.