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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Brann
U T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
59%
48%
Both score Ø 57%
70%
44%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 10. · Sarpsborg 08 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 27 23 3 1 +61 72
2 Molde 26 17 2 7 +34 53
3 Valerenga 27 13 9 5 +13 48
4 Rosenborg 26 13 6 7 +13 45
5 Kristiansund 27 11 11 5 +13 44
6 Odd 25 13 3 9 +8 42
7 Viking 27 12 6 9 +5 42
8 Stabaek 27 8 11 8 -5 35
9 Haugesund 27 10 5 12 -10 35
10 Brann 27 8 7 12 -10 31
11 Sandefjord 26 9 4 13 -12 31
12 Sarpsborg 08 27 8 6 13 -5 30
13 Start 27 6 8 13 -18 26
14 Stromsgodset 26 5 9 12 -17 24
15 Mjondalen 27 6 3 18 -22 21
16 Aalesund 27 2 5 20 -48 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Sarpsborg 08
7′
🟨 Bjorn Utvik
Half-time 0–1
52′
G. Vetti 0–1
64′
🟨 Sebastian Jarl
G. Rólantsson 🔁
↦ S. Svendsen
65′
F. Haugen 🔁
↦ M. Rasmussen
65′
66′
🟨 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
1–1 K. Barmen
D. Bamba
75′
78′
🔁 J. Adéoti
↦ G. Vetti
78′
🔁 M. Ofkir
↦ T. Heintz
Jón Guðni Fjóluson 🟨
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-2-3-1
1 H. Opdal G
4 J. Fjóluson D
3 V. Forren D
5 T. Grøgaard D
18 O. Blomberg D
16 R. Taylor M
29 K. Barmen M
9 P. Strand M
27 S. Svendsen M
11 D. Bamba F
7 M. Rasmussen M
Bench (9)
17 G. Rólantsson
8 F. Haugen
30 A. Ahamada
41 M. Kvinge
25 O. Kolskogen
21 R. Kristiansen
14 E. Hustad
19 J. Tveita
20 M. Mehnert

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Sarpsborg 08

4-5-1
33 D. Mitov-Nilsson G
16 J. Thomassen D
5 M. Ødegård D
6 N. Næss M
4 B. Utvik D
2 S. Bojang F
7 O. Halvorsen M
20 A. Salétros M
14 T. Heintz M
15 G. Vetti M
18 S. Jarl D
Bench (5)
21 J. Adéoti
8 M. Ofkir
17 J. Soltvedt
24 A. Elyounoussi
12 S. Thomas

Coach: M. Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.