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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Alaves
S U U U S
0–0
Full-time
Sociedad
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,0
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
27%
64%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
55%
36%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%
5 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
3 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 13. · Sociedad 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 10 8 2 0 +19 26
2 Sociedad 11 7 3 1 +17 24
3 Villarreal 12 5 6 1 +4 21
4 Real Madrid 11 6 2 3 +5 20
5 Cadiz 12 5 3 4 -2 18
6 Sevilla 10 5 1 4 +3 16
7 Granada 11 4 3 4 -6 15
8 Betis 12 5 0 7 -9 15
9 Barcelona 10 4 2 4 +9 14
10 Elche 10 3 5 2 -1 14
11 Ath Bilbao 11 4 1 6 +0 13
12 Eibar 11 3 4 4 -1 13
13 Alaves 11 3 4 4 -2 13
14 Getafe 11 3 4 4 -4 13
15 Celta 12 3 4 5 -7 13
16 Valencia 11 3 3 5 +0 12
17 Levante 11 2 5 4 -2 11
18 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 -7 11
19 Valladolid 12 2 4 6 -7 10
20 Huesca 12 0 8 4 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Sociedad
Florian Lejeune 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
Rodrigo Battaglia 🟥
61′
Martín Aguirregabiria 🔁
↦ Lucas Pérez
72′
75′
🔁 Willian José
↦ A. Isak
75′
🔁 Zaldúa
↦ Gorosabel
75′
🔁 Jon Bautista
↦ Roberto López
83′
🔁 Martín Zubimendi
↦ M. Sagnan
83′
🔁 Barrenetxea
↦ Portu
Edgar Méndez 🔁
↦ Luis Rioja
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
22 F. Lejeune D
23 Ximo Navarro D
3 Rubén Duarte D
8 Pina M
24 Jota Peleteiro M
6 R. Battaglia M
9 Joselu F
7 Lucas Pérez F
11 Luis Rioja M
Bench (12)
21 Martín Aguirregabiria
16 Edgar Méndez
13 Sivera
2 Alberto Rodríguez
17 Adrián Marín
10 J. Guidetti
37 Tomás Tavares
27 Sergi García
14 Deyverson
4 Rodrigo Ely
26 Javi López
29 Borja Sainz

Coach: Pablo Machín

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Gorosabel D
15 M. Sagnan D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
8 Mikel Merino M
5 Zubeldía D
16 Guevara M
7 Portu M
17 Martín Merquelanz M
19 A. Isak F
28 Roberto López M
Bench (11)
9 Willian José
2 Zaldúa
25 Jon Bautista
36 Martín Zubimendi
22 Barrenetxea
11 A. Januzaj
13 Moyà
24 R. Le Normand
20 Nacho Monreal
34 Gaizka Ayesa
37 Urko González

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,67
U ✓
3,41
B
1,85
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.