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Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Werder Bremen
U U U U T
1–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 89%
89%
89%
Average goals
3,1
3,6
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 12. · Stuttgart 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 10 7 2 1 +18 23
2 RB Leipzig 10 6 3 1 +12 21
3 Dortmund 10 6 1 3 +12 19
4 Leverkusen 9 5 4 0 +7 19
5 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 0 +6 18
6 Union Berlin 10 4 4 2 +8 16
7 M'gladbach 10 4 4 2 +3 16
8 Ein Frankfurt 10 2 7 1 -2 13
9 Augsburg 9 3 3 3 -1 12
10 Stuttgart 9 2 5 2 +2 11
11 Hertha 10 3 2 5 -1 11
12 Werder Bremen 9 2 5 2 -2 11
13 Hoffenheim 9 2 3 4 -1 9
14 Freiburg 10 1 5 4 -10 8
15 FC Koln 10 1 4 5 -5 7
16 Bielefeld 10 2 1 7 -12 7
17 Mainz 10 1 2 7 -12 5
18 Schalke 04 9 0 3 6 -22 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Stuttgart
Yuya Osako 🟨
25′
30′
S. Wamangituka 0–1
36′
🟨 Konstantinos Mavropanos
Tahith Chong 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 P. Stenzel
↦ K. Mavropanos
56′
🟨 Orel Mangala
58′
🟨 Gonzalo Castro
D. Selke 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
59′
N. Woltemade 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
59′
59′
🔁 P. Förster
↦ G. Castro
59′
🔁 P. Klement
↦ S. Kalajdzic
Christian Groß 🟨
65′
73′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ T. Coulibaly
R. Schmid 🔁
↦ Y. Ōsako
80′
P. Erras 🔁
↦ C. Groß
87′
Davie Selke 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Silas Wamangituka
91′
S. Wamangituka 0–2
92′
🔁 D. Churlinov
↦ S. Wamangituka
1–2 D. Selke
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
36 C. Groß M
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
32 M. Friedl D
10 L. Bittencourt M
35 M. Eggestein M
22 T. Chong M
8 Y. Ōsako M
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
9 D. Selke
41 N. Woltemade
20 R. Schmid
29 P. Erras
27 S. Kapino
17 F. Agu
33 J. Rieckmann
28 I. Gruev
18 N. Moisander

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Stuttgart

3-1-4-2
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
8 G. Castro M
3 W. Endo M
23 O. Mangala M
7 T. Coulibaly F
9 S. Kalajdzic F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
15 P. Stenzel
20 P. Förster
21 P. Klement
30 R. Massimo
19 D. Churlinov
33 F. Bredlow
31 M. Klimowicz
25 L. Egloff
35 M. Kamiński

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,73
U
3,56
B ✓
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.