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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Sarpsborg 08
U S U S U
1–2
Full-time
Brann
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 5. · Brann 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 5 4 0 1 +4 12
2 Ranheim 4 3 0 1 +2 9
3 Valerenga 5 3 0 2 +1 9
4 Stromsgodset 5 2 2 1 +4 8
5 Sarpsborg 08 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 Brann 3 2 1 0 +3 7
7 Tromso 5 2 1 2 +2 7
8 Haugesund 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Rosenborg 4 1 2 1 +3 5
10 Kristiansund 5 1 2 2 -1 5
11 Sandefjord 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Lillestrom 5 1 1 3 -3 4
13 Odd 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Stabaek 4 0 3 1 -3 3
15 Bodo/Glimt 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Start 4 1 0 3 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
12′
S. Nilsen 0–1
F. Haugen
Half-time 1–1
1–1 H. Singh
M. Agger
50′
59′
🔁 P. Larsen
↦ F. Haugen
64′
🟨 Sivert Nilsen
R. Schwartz 🔁
↦ M. Agger
68′
75′
🔁 H. Johansen
↦ S. Skålevik
Ole Jørgen Halvorsen 🟨
79′
80′
V. Wormgoor 1–2
T. Heintz 🔁
↦ O. Halvorsen
82′
K. Larsen 🔁
↦ M. Lund Nielsen
83′
83′
🔁 L. Marengo
↦ G. Sørensen
87′
🟨 Vito Wormgoor
Patrick Mortensen 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
31 A. Falch G
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
6 J. Tamm D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
23 H. Singh M
7 O. Halvorsen M
22 J. Tveita D
17 K. Zachariassen M
69 P. Mortensen F
18 M. Agger F
Bench (7)
29 R. Schwartz
10 T. Heintz
19 K. Larsen
4 B. Utvik
15 G. Vetti
21 A. Kristiansen
77 A. Askar

Coach: G. Bakke

Brann

4-3-3
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
2 T. Teniste D
15 B. Acosta D
3 V. Wormgoor D
21 R. Kristiansen D
17 G. Sørensen F
8 F. Haugen M
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
11 S. Skålevik F
22 G. Koomson F
Bench (7)
7 P. Larsen
27 H. Johansen
14 L. Marengo
5 J. Grønner
12 M. Pettersen
18 A. Karadas
19 D. Vega

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.