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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Start
T S U T T
3–2
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 26%
17%
35%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 42%
48%
35%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Start 15. · Sarpsborg 08 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 23 20 2 1 +49 62
2 Molde 23 15 1 7 +29 46
3 Rosenborg 23 13 6 4 +21 45
4 Odd 23 13 3 7 +11 42
5 Valerenga 23 12 6 5 +11 42
6 Kristiansund 23 9 9 5 +11 36
7 Haugesund 24 9 4 11 -9 31
8 Stabaek 23 7 9 7 -3 30
9 Viking 23 8 6 9 -4 30
10 Sarpsborg 08 23 8 4 11 -3 28
11 Sandefjord 23 8 3 12 -12 27
12 Brann 24 6 7 11 -11 25
13 Stromsgodset 24 5 9 10 -15 24
14 Mjondalen 24 6 2 16 -20 20
15 Start 23 4 7 12 -17 19
16 Aalesund 23 2 4 17 -38 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Sarpsborg 08
6′
🔁 A. Tveter
↦ G. Molins
21′
A. Salétros 0–1
T. Heintz
1–1 E. Segberg
J. Daland
36′
Half-time 1–1
J. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ V. Bergan
46′
1–2 B. Utvik
own goal
47′
48′
O. Halvorsen 1–3
64′
🟨 Mikael Dyrestam
69′
🔁 G. Vetti
↦ J. Adéoti
M. Ugland 🔁
↦ E. Schulze
76′
M. Ramsland 🔁
↦ K. Skaanes
83′
Mikael Ugland 🟨
84′
2–3 K. Kabran
88′
Jonas Deumeland 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 S. Bojang
↦ O. Halvorsen
91′
🔁 M. Ofkir
↦ M. Ødegård
H. Robstad 🔁
↦ C. Bolaños
92′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Start

4-1-4-1
1 J. Deumeland G
3 V. Bergan D
27 E. Wichne D
22 K. Tønnessen D
2 J. Daland D
30 C. Bolaños F
11 E. Schulze M
19 K. Skaanes M
23 E. Segberg M
8 E. Marković M
7 K. Kabran M
Bench (8)
6 J. Jørgensen
16 M. Ugland
9 M. Ramsland
15 H. Robstad
20 M. Bringaker
14 E. Børufsen
12 A. Wichne
10 S. Skålevik

Coach: J. Hardarson

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-3
33 D. Mitov-Nilsson G
22 M. Dyrestam M
5 M. Ødegård D
6 N. Næss M
4 B. Utvik D
7 O. Halvorsen M
21 J. Adéoti D
20 A. Salétros M
11 J. Lindseth F
14 T. Heintz F
10 G. Molins F
Bench (8)
28 A. Tveter
15 G. Vetti
2 S. Bojang
8 M. Ofkir
17 J. Soltvedt
27 A. Konte
12 S. Thomas
18 S. Jarl

Coach: M. Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.