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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Sarpsborg 08
U S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Brann
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 28%
17%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
5 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 15. · Brann 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 25 17 5 3 +33 56
2 Bodo/Glimt 24 14 6 4 +20 48
3 Odd 25 13 6 6 +7 45
4 Rosenborg 25 11 8 6 +8 41
5 Viking 25 11 7 7 +9 40
6 Brann 24 9 8 7 +5 35
7 Kristiansund 25 9 8 8 +0 35
8 Haugesund 25 7 10 8 +3 31
9 Valerenga 25 7 8 10 -3 29
10 Stabaek 25 7 8 10 -4 29
11 Lillestrom 25 7 7 11 -9 28
12 Tromso 25 7 4 14 -19 25
13 Ranheim 25 6 6 13 -13 24
14 Stromsgodset 25 6 6 13 -16 24
15 Sarpsborg 08 24 4 11 9 -7 23
16 Mjondalen 24 4 10 10 -14 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
14′
Taijo Teniste 0–1
Half-time 0–1
64′
🔁 Fredrik Haugen
↦ Kristoffer Barmen
Kyle Lafferty 🔁
↦ Mostafa Abdellaoue
69′
71′
🔁 Thomas Grogaard
↦ Ruben Jenssen
Steffen Skalevik 🔁
↦ Niklas Gunnarsson
84′
Kyle Lafferty 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Bismar Acosta
1–1 Kyle Lafferty
Amin Askar
89′
Ole Jørgen Halvorsen 🔁
↦ Kristoffer Larsen
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-2-2
30 Alexandre Letellier G
20 Magnar Odegaard D
4 Bjorn Utvik D
5 Niklas Gunnarsson D
16 Joachim Thomassen D
15 Gaute Hoberg Vetti M
17 Kristoffer Zachariassen M
19 Kristoffer Larsen M
11 Jonathan Lindseth M
77 Amin Askar F
21 Mostafa Abdellaoue F
Bench (7)
31 Aslak Falch
6 Nicolai Naess
8 Matti Lund Nielsen
7 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
13 Mario Pavelić
10 Steffen Skalevik
48 Kyle Lafferty

Coach: G. Bakke

Brann

4-3-3
1 Håkon Opdal G
2 Taijo Teniste D
3 Vito Wormgoor D
4 Christian Rismark D
21 Ruben Kristiansen D
16 Ruben Jenssen M
15 Bismar Acosta M
29 Kristoffer Barmen M
17 Gilli Sørensen F
19 Veton Berisha F
7 Gilbert Koomson F
Bench (7)
12 Eirik Johansen
5 Thomas Grogaard
32 Emil Kalsaas
33 Sander Marthinussen
8 Fredrik Haugen
41 Mikal Kvinge
39 Aune Selland Heggebo

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.