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Süper Lig

Referee: Ali Palabıyık

Denizlispor

S T T T U

0–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,5

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 36%

11%

60%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

44%

70%

Both score Ø 57%

44%

70%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

0,9

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

11 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Denizlispor 20. · Fenerbahce 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	10	7	2	1	+15	23
2	Galatasaray	11	7	2	2	+12	23
3	Fenerbahce	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Besiktas	10	6	1	3	+3	19
5	Karagumruk	11	4	5	2	+7	17
6	Goztep	10	3	6	1	+6	15
7	Konyaspor	10	4	3	3	+5	15
8	Gaziantep	10	3	6	1	+2	15
9	Buyuksehyr	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Kasimpasa	11	4	3	4	+0	15
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	3	4	3	-2	13
12	Antalyaspor	11	3	4	4	-4	13
13	Rizespor	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Trabzonspor	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Hatayspor	8	3	3	2	-5	12
16	Sivasspor	9	2	3	4	-3	9
17	Erzurumspor	10	2	3	5	-6	9
18	Kayserispor	10	2	3	5	-6	9
19	Genclerbirligi	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Denizlispor	9	1	3	5	-8	6
21	Ankaragücü	9	0	2	7	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Alanyaspor	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Galatasaray	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Kasimpasa	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Konyaspor	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Besiktas	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Antalyaspor	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Gaziantep	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Goztep	5	2	2	1	+5	8
11	Buyuksehyr	5	2	2	1	+3	8
12	Hatayspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
13	Fenerbahce	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Rizespor	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Trabzonspor	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Genclerbirligi	5	1	2	2	-4	5
17	Kayserispor	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Erzurumspor	5	0	3	2	-2	3
19	Denizlispor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-3	1
21	Sivasspor	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Galatasaray	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Alanyaspor	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Besiktas	5	3	0	2	-1	9
5	Sivasspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Goztep	5	1	4	0	+1	7
7	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	-2	7
8	Gaziantep	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Trabzonspor	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Erzurumspor	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Konyaspor	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Rizespor	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Kayserispor	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Kasimpasa	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Denizlispor	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Hatayspor	4	1	1	2	-8	4
17	Karagumruk	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Antalyaspor	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Genclerbirligi	5	1	0	4	-5	3
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	0	2	3	-6	2
21	Ankaragücü	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.