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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Heerenveen

S S T U U

2–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 60%

50%

70%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,1

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%

12 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 10

2 Offside 2

1 Free kicks against 4

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 7. · PSV Eindhoven 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	0	2	+36	27
2	Vitesse	11	8	1	2	+13	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	2	1	+15	23
4	Feyenoord	9	6	3	0	+12	21
5	Twente	11	6	3	2	+11	21
6	Groningen	11	6	2	3	+1	20
7	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+5	18
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	4	5	1	+7	17
9	Zwolle	11	2	6	3	-4	12
10	Waalwijk	11	3	3	5	-7	12
11	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	2	5	-2	11
12	Utrecht	9	2	5	2	-3	11
13	Heracles	11	2	3	6	-10	9
14	VVV Venlo	11	2	3	6	-15	9
15	Willem II	11	2	2	7	-10	8
16	For Sittard	11	1	3	7	-14	6
17	Den Haag	11	1	3	7	-18	6
18	FC Emmen	11	0	3	8	-17	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+15	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Vitesse	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Twente	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Groningen	6	3	2	1	+1	11
6	Heerenveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Zwolle	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Utrecht	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Heracles	5	2	1	2	+3	7
13	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-3	6
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	VVV Venlo	5	1	2	2	-13	5
17	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	FC Emmen	5	0	2	3	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
3	Twente	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	PSV Eindhoven	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Waalwijk	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	VVV Venlo	6	1	1	4	-2	4
11	Zwolle	5	0	4	1	-4	4
12	Den Haag	6	1	1	4	-13	4
13	Utrecht	4	0	3	1	-3	3
14	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-7	2
16	Heracles	6	0	2	4	-13	2
17	For Sittard	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	FC Emmen	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.